PAG NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Penske Automotive Group Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

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Latest close 217.3 USD
7.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.2%, after a 19.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 217.3 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.2% latest completed week
4W Return 19.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 29.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 19.3%. Indicator stack 53/80 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 45/100 conviction; expected move 3.6%. News sentiment 58/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.2%, after a 19.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.47

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 19.3% over four weeks, 29.1% over 12 weeks, and 28.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.2%
4W19.3%
12W29.1%
26W38.8%
52W28.4%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change725.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength27/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Value34/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-2.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-23.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

PAG shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move3.6%
Put/call volume0.17
Pressure78
Speculation18
Volatility30
Trend agreement22
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 7

6 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

22 positive · 29 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move3.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+7.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis62/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; 15 reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 30; Small Cap Core rank 37 SVQF55/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 459.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

PAG shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.6% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Stock Looks Above Fair Value After a 177% Run Insiders6 / 7

6 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026217.3 USD7.2%166.2 USD154.9 USD1.5720.994.5MOn
17 Jul 2026202.7 USD4.3%164.4 USD154.5 USD1.4912.381.7MOn
10 Jul 2026194.3 USD8.3%163.1 USD154.2 USD1.336.201.4MOn
3 Jul 2026179.4 USD-1.5%162.1 USD153.9 USD1.27-0.821.1MOn
26 Jun 2026182.2 USD4.0%161.5 USD153.8 USD1.272.541.6MOn
19 Jun 2026175.2 USD-3.2%160.8 USD153.6 USD1.04-3.941.3MOn
12 Jun 2026181.0 USD5.8%160.2 USD153.4 USD0.87-0.261.5MOn
5 Jun 2026171.0 USD2.2%159.4 USD153.2 USD0.62-5.401.3MOn
29 May 2026167.4 USD2.5%158.8 USD153.0 USD0.60-10.001.1MOn
22 May 2026163.3 USD1.6%158.4 USD152.8 USD0.73-11.251.4MOff
15 May 2026160.8 USD-6.7%158.3 USD152.5 USD0.64-12.221.4MOff
8 May 2026172.3 USD2.3%158.5 USD152.3 USD0.53-6.131.3MOff
1 May 2026168.4 USD5.9%158.1 USD152.0 USD0.15-6.402.3MOff
24 Apr 2026159.1 USD-0.6%158.2 USD151.8 USD-0.40-11.011.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.