STX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Seagate Technology PLC · Technology · Computer Hardware

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Latest close 856.1 USD
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 38.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 856.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 4.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 61-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.4%. Indicator stack 100/43 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 67.42% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 40/100 conviction; expected move 11.3%. News sentiment 56/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 38.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 4.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9112-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, 9.5% over 12 weeks, and 457.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 61 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W4.4%
12W9.5%
26W110.4%
52W457.1%
Active trend streak61 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-98.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership78.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
80.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
17.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
57.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
28.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
66.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
28.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
59.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
167.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

STX shows mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.16, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move11.3%
Put/call volume1.16
Pressure-6
Speculation47
Volatility96
Trend agreement68
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 18

2 acquisitions and 18 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

15 positive · 25 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains14
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.1% / -7.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis84/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.91; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 67.42%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 67.42% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 70 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

STX shows mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.16, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.3% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

Analyst Report: Seagate Technology Holdings plc Insiders2 / 18

2 acquisitions and 18 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026856.1 USD0.5%620.4 USD213.0 USD0.0278.6636.4MOn
24 Jul 2026851.7 USD8.1%601.4 USD207.9 USD0.0983.6126.0MOn
17 Jul 2026787.7 USD-13.5%582.6 USD202.8 USD0.4371.8725.9MOn
10 Jul 2026910.3 USD11.0%566.1 USD198.2 USD0.9795.3221.2MOn
3 Jul 2026820.2 USD-8.9%545.3 USD192.7 USD1.2584.6419.5MOn
26 Jun 2026899.9 USD-15.9%527.3 USD187.8 USD1.50110.0531.2MOn
19 Jun 20261,069 USD14.9%506.4 USD182.4 USD1.58146.3424.6MOn
12 Jun 2026930.3 USD9.9%478.7 USD175.9 USD1.46129.0315.0MOn
5 Jun 2026846.8 USD-3.7%456.2 USD170.3 USD1.50121.2215.0MOn
29 May 2026879.1 USD8.3%437.3 USD165.2 USD1.72127.0614.8MOn
22 May 2026812.1 USD2.2%416.5 USD160.0 USD1.87123.7516.7MOn
15 May 2026794.9 USD1.6%397.2 USD155.1 USD1.84129.6217.5MOn
8 May 2026782.1 USD7.7%378.1 USD150.4 USD1.72133.6227.9MOn
1 May 2026726.4 USD24.0%359.2 USD145.7 USD1.45137.7233.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.