- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.47% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
LDO
MIL
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Leonardo S.p.a. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
54.65 EUR
4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 4.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
54.65 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.0%.
Indicator stack
36/51
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.47%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 4.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.27
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.0% over four weeks, 4.0% over 12 weeks, and 18.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change73.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
6 positive · 26 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+4.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Industrials
4-week rank14 / 56
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth41.1%
Trend41.1%active weekly trend signals
MD53.6%positive activity pressure
RS21.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank3 / 5
Group average4.6%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.47%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.47% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
Rheinmetall, Leonardo, BAE: When Will Weakened Defense Stocks Rebound? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 54.65 EUR | 4.6% | 54.88 EUR | 34.83 EUR | -0.27 | -8.83 | 13.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 52.26 EUR | 3.0% | 54.76 EUR | 34.56 EUR | -0.52 | -12.35 | 9.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 50.75 EUR | -2.1% | 54.67 EUR | 34.30 EUR | -0.79 | -15.24 | 9.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 51.82 EUR | -1.4% | 54.62 EUR | 34.05 EUR | -0.93 | -15.00 | 13.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 52.53 EUR | 13.6% | 54.50 EUR | 33.79 EUR | -1.00 | -14.44 | 14.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 46.26 EUR | -11.1% | 54.32 EUR | 33.52 EUR | -1.20 | -22.59 | 3.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 52.03 EUR | -1.5% | 54.34 EUR | 33.29 EUR | -1.06 | -15.91 | 4.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 52.84 EUR | 3.1% | 54.14 EUR | 33.02 EUR | -1.04 | -12.65 | 2.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 51.24 EUR | -4.7% | 54.06 EUR | 32.75 EUR | -1.05 | -12.84 | 1.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 53.77 EUR | 4.0% | 54.04 EUR | 32.48 EUR | -0.98 | -9.18 | 12.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 51.69 EUR | 6.8% | 53.94 EUR | 32.20 EUR | -1.08 | -12.13 | 9.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 48.40 EUR | -7.8% | 53.92 EUR | 31.94 EUR | -1.08 | -17.39 | 15.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 52.52 EUR | 0.3% | 53.91 EUR | 31.70 EUR | -0.91 | -10.97 | 17.1M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 52.39 EUR | 0.6% | 53.93 EUR | 31.43 EUR | -0.69 | -9.46 | 8.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.