FCT MIL Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fincantieri S.p.A. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 13.53 EUR
5.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 24.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 13.53 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.9% latest completed week
4W Return 24.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 24.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 24.1% over four weeks, 19.0% over 12 weeks, and -15.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.9%
4W24.1%
12W19.0%
26W-15.4%
52W-15.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change471.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 18 relevant articles.

9 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-50.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-13.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202613.53 EUR5.9%13.41 EUR9.85 EUR1.06-27.1420.2MOff
24 Jul 202612.78 EUR1.5%13.54 EUR9.79 EUR0.75-31.2414.2MOff
17 Jul 202612.59 EUR8.7%13.68 EUR9.73 EUR0.31-32.9417.8MOff
10 Jul 202611.57 EUR6.2%13.81 EUR9.67 EUR0.00-39.7234.3MOff
3 Jul 202610.90 EUR9.7%14.04 EUR9.63 EUR-0.28-44.0215.9MOff
26 Jun 20269.94 EUR-13.1%14.26 EUR9.58 EUR-0.60-47.985.7MOff
19 Jun 202611.44 EUR-0.3%14.50 EUR9.54 EUR-0.60-42.494.4MOff
12 Jun 202611.48 EUR4.6%14.71 EUR9.49 EUR-0.88-41.222.7MOff
5 Jun 202610.98 EUR-7.2%14.96 EUR9.45 EUR-1.15-42.402.1MOff
29 May 202611.84 EUR1.9%15.28 EUR9.40 EUR-1.30-38.5810.0MOff
22 May 202611.61 EUR4.9%15.62 EUR9.35 EUR-1.56-39.589.6MOff
15 May 202611.07 EUR-2.6%16.00 EUR9.30 EUR-1.68-42.3319.4MOff
8 May 202611.37 EUR-4.7%16.37 EUR9.26 EUR-1.71-41.2012.7MOff
1 May 202611.92 EUR-2.0%16.85 EUR9.22 EUR-1.62-37.258.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.