LVWR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

LiveWire Group Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

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Latest close 1.81 USD
24.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 20.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.0%, after a 72.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 1.81 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 24.0% latest completed week
4W Return 72.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 6.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.80% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 24.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 72.4%. Indicator stack 22/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.80% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 37.8%. News sentiment 53/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 20.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.0%, after a 72.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 6.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 72.4% over four weeks, 9.7% over 12 weeks, and -44.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W24.0%
4W72.4%
12W9.7%
26W-22.6%
52W-44.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change239.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-44.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change36.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 79%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum3/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-13.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-10.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-235.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-141.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-151.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
31.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

LVWR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.09, expected move of 37.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction50/100
Expected move37.8%
Put/call volume0.09
Pressure91
Speculation9
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

16 positive · 17 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move37.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-71.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility34.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+110.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-33.8%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+24.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol34.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol21.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.5% / -11.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.80%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.80% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors5/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 90 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Options35/100

LVWR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.09, expected move of 37.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 37.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Wall Street Zen Upgrades LiveWire Group (NYSE:LVWR) to Hold Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.81 USD24.0%1.72 USD5.37 USD0.42-44.02122.5MOff
24 Jul 20261.46 USD110.3%1.82 USD5.43 USD0.04-54.93107.2MOff
17 Jul 20260.69 USD-0.2%1.92 USD5.50 USD-0.02-79.127.6MOff
10 Jul 20260.70 USD-33.8%2.06 USD5.56 USD0.02-79.872.3MOff
3 Jul 20261.05 USD-23.9%2.20 USD5.63 USD0.12-69.791.3MOff
26 Jun 20261.38 USD22.1%2.30 USD5.70 USD0.14-60.404.6MOff
19 Jun 20261.13 USD-5.0%2.40 USD5.77 USD-0.04-69.00421.5KOff
12 Jun 20261.19 USD-0.8%2.50 USD5.83 USD-0.04-68.04480.3KOff
5 Jun 20261.20 USD-14.9%2.61 USD5.89 USD-0.07-68.55520.7KOff
29 May 20261.41 USD1.4%2.73 USD5.94 USD-0.05-65.07805.9KOff
22 May 20261.39 USD-2.1%2.86 USD5.99 USD-0.07-65.79675.3KOff
15 May 20261.42 USD-13.9%3.01 USD6.04 USD-0.02-64.73590.8KOff
8 May 20261.65 USD-7.3%3.13 USD6.07 USD-0.02-58.94715.7KOff
1 May 20261.78 USD-12.7%3.23 USD6.11 USD-0.34-54.59326.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.