4661 JPX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Latest close 3,167 JPY
18.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.1%, after a 24.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 3,167 JPY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 18.1% latest completed week
4W Return 24.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 41.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.98% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.1%, after a 24.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 24.5% over four weeks, 41.3% over 12 weeks, and 0.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W18.1%
4W24.5%
12W41.3%
26W17.2%
52W0.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1052.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change72.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

4 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+18.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263,167 JPY18.1%2,587 JPY3,708 JPY1.43-9.9660.0MOff
24 Jul 20262,682 JPY-1.7%2,577 JPY3,721 JPY1.22-24.7824.4MOff
17 Jul 20262,730 JPY4.4%2,585 JPY3,738 JPY0.92-23.7937.1MOff
10 Jul 20262,615 JPY2.8%2,589 JPY3,755 JPY0.39-32.5124.5MOff
3 Jul 20262,544 JPY6.0%2,597 JPY3,773 JPY-0.15-36.3126.9MOff
26 Jun 20262,398 JPY2.7%2,609 JPY3,792 JPY-0.74-40.464.1MOff
19 Jun 20262,336 JPY3.2%2,629 JPY3,813 JPY-0.85-44.407.2MOff
12 Jun 20262,264 JPY3.9%2,653 JPY3,831 JPY-0.98-42.786.7MOff
5 Jun 20262,180 JPY-5.0%2,682 JPY3,850 JPY-1.00-46.224.0MOff
29 May 20262,296 JPY7.3%2,713 JPY3,871 JPY-0.94-44.1135.3MOff
22 May 20262,140 JPY-1.0%2,740 JPY3,890 JPY-0.96-46.2631.2MOff
15 May 20262,161 JPY-3.6%2,785 JPY3,910 JPY-0.82-44.8727.9MOff
8 May 20262,242 JPY0.8%2,832 JPY3,931 JPY-0.62-44.9023.2MOff
1 May 20262,223 JPY-7.4%2,876 JPY3,949 JPY-0.43-43.2847.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.