- The trend backdrop is active with a 28-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
CFV
MIL
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Confinvest Oro S.p.A. · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
2.20 EUR
0.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -3.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
2.20 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.37% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.5%.
Indicator stack
97/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.37%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -3.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7312-week average 0.69
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.5% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and 16.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 28 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak28 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-122.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-201.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks3
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Financial Services
4-week rank23 / 31
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth67.7%
Trend67.7%active weekly trend signals
MD67.7%positive activity pressure
RS45.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Capital Markets
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average-1.2%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.73; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.37%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.37% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Confinvest Oro S.p.A. Revenue Breakdown – MIL:CFV Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.20 EUR | 0.9% | 2.05 EUR | 1.74 EUR | -0.07 | -0.94 | 40.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.18 EUR | -4.4% | 2.04 EUR | 1.73 EUR | 0.24 | -1.36 | 109.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.28 EUR | 4.6% | 2.03 EUR | 1.73 EUR | 0.37 | 2.90 | 254.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.18 EUR | -4.4% | 2.01 EUR | 1.73 EUR | 0.26 | -3.04 | 237.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.28 EUR | 6.5% | 1.99 EUR | 1.72 EUR | 0.32 | 0.92 | 90.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.14 EUR | 1.9% | 1.98 EUR | 1.72 EUR | 0.41 | -2.40 | 5.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.10 EUR | -1.9% | 1.97 EUR | 1.72 EUR | 0.75 | -7.10 | 28.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.14 EUR | -8.5% | 1.96 EUR | 1.72 EUR | 1.00 | -2.90 | 42.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.34 EUR | 0.0% | 1.95 EUR | 1.71 EUR | 1.08 | 9.62 | 10.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.34 EUR | 7.3% | 1.93 EUR | 1.71 EUR | 1.14 | 9.68 | 396.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.18 EUR | 5.8% | 1.92 EUR | 1.71 EUR | 1.02 | 3.61 | 114.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.06 EUR | -5.5% | 1.91 EUR | 1.70 EUR | 1.00 | -1.23 | 129.0K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.18 EUR | 5.8% | 1.90 EUR | 1.70 EUR | 1.11 | 4.22 | 338.0K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.06 EUR | -3.7% | 1.89 EUR | 1.70 EUR | 0.65 | 0.80 | 345.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.