FIC MIL Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

First Capital S.p.A. · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 17.20 EUR
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 17.20 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.90% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.0%. Indicator stack 33/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.90% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 55/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.0% over four weeks, -3.1% over 12 weeks, and 4.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W-2.0%
12W-3.1%
26W-10.0%
52W4.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change88.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

5 positive · 9 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-4.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks2
Modest losses13
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.90%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.90% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

First Capital S.p.A. Revenue Breakdown – MIL:FIC Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202617.20 EUR1.5%17.86 EUR15.91 EUR-0.10-16.155.4KOff
24 Jul 202616.95 EUR-1.7%17.93 EUR15.89 EUR-0.11-17.1213.8KOff
17 Jul 202617.25 EUR-0.6%18.02 EUR15.87 EUR-0.34-16.128.2KOff
10 Jul 202617.35 EUR-1.1%18.12 EUR15.85 EUR-0.57-17.1823.6KOff
3 Jul 202617.55 EUR5.7%18.24 EUR15.83 EUR-0.87-16.9115.2KOff
26 Jun 202616.60 EUR-0.9%18.33 EUR15.81 EUR-1.16-19.364.1KOff
19 Jun 202616.75 EUR-0.9%18.42 EUR15.80 EUR-1.08-21.441.7KOff
12 Jun 202616.90 EUR0.0%18.45 EUR15.80 EUR-1.02-19.101.2KOff
5 Jun 202616.90 EUR-1.5%18.48 EUR15.79 EUR-1.03-16.882.5KOff
29 May 202617.15 EUR0.3%18.49 EUR15.78 EUR-0.91-16.2625.6KOff
22 May 202617.10 EUR1.2%18.51 EUR15.77 EUR-0.87-15.9925.4KOff
15 May 202616.90 EUR-4.8%18.52 EUR15.76 EUR-0.87-16.6618.3KOff
8 May 202617.75 EUR-1.9%18.52 EUR15.75 EUR-0.75-13.1130.2KOff
1 May 202618.10 EUR0.5%18.50 EUR15.74 EUR-0.81-9.6920.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.