MEX Equity Snapshot

MPC Weekly Equity Report

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Latest Close 4,496 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MPC closed the latest completed week at 4,496 MXN. The 4-week return is 4.0% and the 12-week return is 5.4%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.66. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 67/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 16.5%
Volume 0.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 100 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 64 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 68 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 5 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 64 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
3,859 MXN
Vs Trend Line
16.5%
Fair Value
3,114 MXN
Vs Fair Value
44.4%
52W High
4,574 MXN
52W Low
3,207 MXN
Drawdown
-1.7%
Range Position
94.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.6%
4W 4.0%
12W 5.4%
26W 26.9%
52W 40.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
53 weeks
52W Active Weeks
52
52W Active Breadth
100.0%
Sector Scope
MX Energy
Sector Rank
7 of 27
Sector Percentile
76.9%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.66
4W MD Change
73.9%
Relative Strength
17.53
4W RS Change
20.0%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
27.85%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
80
13W Average
683
52W Average
186
Vs 13W
0.1x
Vs 52W
0.4x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
8.0%
52W Volatility
4.2%
Upside Weeks
14
Downside Weeks
4
Downside Breadth
7.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.5% / -6.1%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
1304.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 53-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 4,496 MXN 0.6% 3,859 MXN 3,114 MXN 0.66 17.53 80 On
5 Jun 2026 4,468 MXN 1.6% 3,828 MXN 3,098 MXN 0.65 20.43 135 On
29 May 2026 4,399 MXN 0.0% 3,799 MXN 3,082 MXN 0.68 14.83 0 On
22 May 2026 4,399 MXN 1.7% 3,765 MXN 3,066 MXN 0.60 15.60 372 On
15 May 2026 4,325 MXN -3.4% 3,731 MXN 3,050 MXN 0.38 14.62 11 On
8 May 2026 4,479 MXN 10.9% 3,699 MXN 3,035 MXN 0.24 15.85 34 On
1 May 2026 4,040 MXN 9.2% 3,663 MXN 3,019 MXN 0.22 8.18 321 On
24 Apr 2026 3,699 MXN 0.0% 3,635 MXN 3,007 MXN 0.38 -2.54 0 On
17 Apr 2026 3,699 MXN -3.9% 3,618 MXN 2,997 MXN 0.71 -3.18 307 On
10 Apr 2026 3,850 MXN -15.8% 3,602 MXN 2,987 MXN 0.95 0.54 3.8K On
3 Apr 2026 4,572 MXN 0.0% 3,581 MXN 2,978 MXN 0.69 20.05 0 On
27 Mar 2026 4,572 MXN 7.2% 3,535 MXN 2,965 MXN 0.43 26.05 3.4K On
20 Mar 2026 4,265 MXN 18.8% 3,490 MXN 2,950 MXN -0.02 23.04 479 On
13 Mar 2026 3,589 MXN 0.0% 3,454 MXN 2,938 MXN -0.42 1.70 0 On