MEX Equity Snapshot
MPC Weekly Equity Report
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
What the company does
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. …
What the weekly tape is saying
MPC closed the latest completed week at 4,496 MXN. The 4-week return is 4.0% and the 12-week return is 5.4%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.66. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 67/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 3,859 MXN
- Vs Trend Line
- 16.5%
- Fair Value
- 3,114 MXN
- Vs Fair Value
- 44.4%
- 52W High
- 4,574 MXN
- 52W Low
- 3,207 MXN
- Drawdown
- -1.7%
- Range Position
- 94.3%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 53 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 52
- 52W Active Breadth
- 100.0%
- Sector Scope
- MX Energy
- Sector Rank
- 7 of 27
- Sector Percentile
- 76.9%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
MX Energy
- Tracked Peers
- 27
- 4W Rank
- 3 of 27
- Avg 1W
- -0.6%
- Avg 4W
- -0.7%
- Trend Breadth
- 92.6%
- Positive MD
- 25.9%
MX Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Tracked Peers
- 3
- 4W Rank
- 1 of 3
- Avg 1W
- 0.0%
- Avg 4W
- 3.1%
- Trend Breadth
- 100.0%
- Positive RS
- 100.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- 0.66
- 4W MD Change
- 73.9%
- Relative Strength
- 17.53
- 4W RS Change
- 20.0%
- Expectation
- Negative
- Probability
- 27.85%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 80
- 13W Average
- 683
- 52W Average
- 186
- Vs 13W
- 0.1x
- Vs 52W
- 0.4x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 8.0%
- 52W Volatility
- 4.2%
- Upside Weeks
- 14
- Downside Weeks
- 4
- Downside Breadth
- 7.7%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.5% / -6.1%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- MEX
- Country
- MX
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Currency
- MXN
- Market Cap
- 1304.4B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 53-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
Risk signals
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
Watch next
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,496 MXN | 0.6% | 3,859 MXN | 3,114 MXN | 0.66 | 17.53 | 80 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,468 MXN | 1.6% | 3,828 MXN | 3,098 MXN | 0.65 | 20.43 | 135 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,399 MXN | 0.0% | 3,799 MXN | 3,082 MXN | 0.68 | 14.83 | 0 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,399 MXN | 1.7% | 3,765 MXN | 3,066 MXN | 0.60 | 15.60 | 372 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,325 MXN | -3.4% | 3,731 MXN | 3,050 MXN | 0.38 | 14.62 | 11 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,479 MXN | 10.9% | 3,699 MXN | 3,035 MXN | 0.24 | 15.85 | 34 | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4,040 MXN | 9.2% | 3,663 MXN | 3,019 MXN | 0.22 | 8.18 | 321 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 3,699 MXN | 0.0% | 3,635 MXN | 3,007 MXN | 0.38 | -2.54 | 0 | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 3,699 MXN | -3.9% | 3,618 MXN | 2,997 MXN | 0.71 | -3.18 | 307 | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 3,850 MXN | -15.8% | 3,602 MXN | 2,987 MXN | 0.95 | 0.54 | 3.8K | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 4,572 MXN | 0.0% | 3,581 MXN | 2,978 MXN | 0.69 | 20.05 | 0 | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 4,572 MXN | 7.2% | 3,535 MXN | 2,965 MXN | 0.43 | 26.05 | 3.4K | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 4,265 MXN | 18.8% | 3,490 MXN | 2,950 MXN | -0.02 | 23.04 | 479 | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 3,589 MXN | 0.0% | 3,454 MXN | 2,938 MXN | -0.42 | 1.70 | 0 | On |