MEX Equity Snapshot

VLO Weekly Equity Report

Valero Energy Corporation

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 4,467 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

VLO closed the latest completed week at 4,467 MXN. The 4-week return is 3.3% and the 12-week return is 4.2%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.14. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 60/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 19.1%
Volume 0.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 90 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 61 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 37 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 2 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 67 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
3,751 MXN
Vs Trend Line
19.1%
Fair Value
2,792 MXN
Vs Fair Value
60.0%
52W High
4,609 MXN
52W Low
2,446 MXN
Drawdown
-3.1%
Range Position
93.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.0%
4W 3.3%
12W 4.2%
26W 42.3%
52W 78.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
42 weeks
52W Active Weeks
43
52W Active Breadth
82.7%
Sector Scope
MX Energy
Sector Rank
23 of 27
Sector Percentile
15.4%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.14
4W MD Change
-134.5%
Relative Strength
25.85
4W RS Change
0.1%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
37.60%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
147
13W Average
2.9K
52W Average
2.4K
Vs 13W
0.1x
Vs 52W
0.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.6%
52W Volatility
5.9%
Upside Weeks
22
Downside Weeks
20
Downside Breadth
38.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
6.4% / -3.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
1263.3B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 42-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 4,467 MXN -2.0% 3,751 MXN 2,792 MXN -0.14 25.85 147 On
5 Jun 2026 4,557 MXN 7.1% 3,711 MXN 2,776 MXN -0.03 32.99 21 On
29 May 2026 4,254 MXN -0.3% 3,668 MXN 2,760 MXN 0.05 20.90 3.4K On
22 May 2026 4,267 MXN -1.3% 3,625 MXN 2,744 MXN 0.22 22.59 166 On
15 May 2026 4,324 MXN 10.3% 3,582 MXN 2,730 MXN 0.41 25.82 1.8K On
8 May 2026 3,922 MXN -11.5% 3,537 MXN 2,715 MXN 0.53 11.82 7.5K On
1 May 2026 4,432 MXN 10.4% 3,509 MXN 2,702 MXN 0.66 30.79 311 On
24 Apr 2026 4,014 MXN 3.1% 3,464 MXN 2,686 MXN 0.77 17.23 6.0K On
17 Apr 2026 3,894 MXN -4.9% 3,437 MXN 2,673 MXN 1.05 13.61 8.0K On
10 Apr 2026 4,096 MXN -3.8% 3,405 MXN 2,662 MXN 1.28 19.84 486 On
3 Apr 2026 4,259 MXN -7.6% 3,366 MXN 2,651 MXN 1.53 25.97 975 On
27 Mar 2026 4,607 MXN 7.4% 3,317 MXN 2,639 MXN 1.79 43.53 7.7K On
20 Mar 2026 4,289 MXN 1.3% 3,258 MXN 2,625 MXN 1.43 40.04 1.6K On
13 Mar 2026 4,235 MXN 4.3% 3,203 MXN 2,614 MXN 1.07 36.03 9.8K On