- The trend backdrop is active with a 59-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MPC
MEX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Latest close
4,680 MXN
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 4.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
4,680 MXN
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
15.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 28.42% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.1%.
Indicator stack
100/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 28.42%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8512-week average 0.81
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.1% over four weeks, 15.8% over 12 weeks, and 45.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 59 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak59 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change74.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.
11 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 263 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks12
Modest losses2
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/4Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Energy
4-week rank19 / 27
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth48.1%
Trend48.1%active weekly trend signals
MD14.8%positive activity pressure
RS88.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average25.1%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis87/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.85; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 28.42%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 28.42% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation $MPC Shares Sold by Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,680 MXN | 0.0% | 4,072 MXN | 3,217 MXN | 0.96 | 22.08 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,680 MXN | 0.0% | 4,034 MXN | 3,200 MXN | 0.70 | 22.19 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,680 MXN | 0.3% | 3,996 MXN | 3,183 MXN | 0.53 | 22.99 | 13 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,668 MXN | 3.8% | 3,958 MXN | 3,165 MXN | 0.51 | 22.21 | 7 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,496 MXN | 0.0% | 3,921 MXN | 3,148 MXN | 0.55 | 17.98 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,496 MXN | 0.0% | 3,889 MXN | 3,131 MXN | 0.63 | 17.59 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,496 MXN | 0.6% | 3,859 MXN | 3,114 MXN | 0.66 | 17.53 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,468 MXN | 1.6% | 3,828 MXN | 3,098 MXN | 0.64 | 20.43 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,399 MXN | 0.0% | 3,799 MXN | 3,082 MXN | 0.68 | 14.83 | 0 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,399 MXN | 1.7% | 3,765 MXN | 3,066 MXN | 0.60 | 15.60 | 372 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,325 MXN | -3.4% | 3,731 MXN | 3,050 MXN | 0.38 | 14.62 | 11 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,479 MXN | 10.9% | 3,699 MXN | 3,035 MXN | 0.24 | 15.85 | 34 | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4,040 MXN | 9.2% | 3,663 MXN | 3,019 MXN | 0.22 | 8.18 | 321 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 3,699 MXN | 0.0% | 3,635 MXN | 3,007 MXN | 0.38 | -2.54 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.