PHM NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PulteGroup Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

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Latest close 128.8 USD
2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 128.8 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.4%. Indicator stack 31/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 4.7%. News sentiment 57/100 41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.4% over four weeks, 8.2% over 12 weeks, and 11.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.1%
4W-6.4%
12W8.2%
26W3.3%
52W11.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change98.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-272.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value69/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12657.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-7.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-30.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-4.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

PHM shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move4.7%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure43
Speculation41
Volatility40
Trend agreement20
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 4

10 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

14 positive · 26 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis21/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.32; 2 reversal markers Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 11 SVQF84/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 162.0 of 1007 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

PHM shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.7% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

PulteGroup CEO says housing market is 'pretty good' despite 11% revenue fall Insiders10 / 4

10 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026128.8 USD2.1%124.9 USD112.5 USD0.54-4.8313.0MOff
17 Jul 2026126.1 USD1.1%124.5 USD112.2 USD0.73-7.448.4MOff
10 Jul 2026124.8 USD-6.7%124.3 USD111.9 USD0.85-9.876.8MOff
3 Jul 2026133.7 USD-2.9%124.3 USD111.6 USD0.73-2.306.3MOff
26 Jun 2026137.6 USD8.4%124.1 USD111.3 USD0.272.8112.1MOff
19 Jun 2026127.0 USD3.3%123.7 USD110.9 USD-0.39-7.2410.0MOff
12 Jun 2026122.9 USD4.0%123.5 USD110.5 USD-0.87-9.386.8MOff
5 Jun 2026118.2 USD0.2%123.3 USD110.2 USD-1.01-12.435.9MOff
29 May 2026117.9 USD1.5%123.3 USD109.9 USD-0.93-14.858.0MOff
22 May 2026116.2 USD5.7%123.4 USD109.6 USD-0.87-14.988.6MOff
15 May 2026109.9 USD-6.3%123.5 USD109.2 USD-0.61-19.0111.0MOff
8 May 2026117.3 USD-1.4%123.9 USD109.0 USD-0.53-13.618.3MOff
1 May 2026119.0 USD-6.5%124.0 USD108.6 USD-0.45-10.548.4MOff
24 Apr 2026127.3 USD0.8%124.6 USD108.3 USD-0.48-3.5711.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.