- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
TMHC
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Taylor Morn Home · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Latest close
72.45 USD
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
72.45 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
20.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%.
Indicator stack
39/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
42/100 conviction; expected move 3.6%.
News sentiment
53/100
49 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
22 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 22 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5412-week average 0.25
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 20.0% over 12 weeks, and 19.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-33.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth16/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 9.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 22.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 10.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -9.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -25.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 72.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
TMHC shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction42/100
Expected move3.6%
Put/call volume0.25
Insider activity13 / 5
13 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.
11 positive · 35 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings22 JulLatest stored earnings date was 22 Jul 2026.
Options expected move3.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth36.0%
Trend36.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS31.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Residential Construction
4-week rank3 / 20
Group average-6.2%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD95.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis52/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.54; 2 reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 226.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options49/100TMHC shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.6% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.
Taylor Morrison (TMHC) Is Now Private After Berkshire Hathaway Closes Acquisition Insiders13 / 513 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings22 JulLatest stored earnings date was 22 Jul 2026.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 72.45 USD | 0.4% | 64.06 USD | 59.79 USD | 1.01 | 4.76 | 16.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 72.13 USD | 0.4% | 63.63 USD | 59.63 USD | 1.10 | 3.72 | 10.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 71.85 USD | -0.0% | 63.22 USD | 59.49 USD | 1.24 | 1.64 | 12.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 71.86 USD | 0.1% | 62.91 USD | 59.36 USD | 1.41 | 2.84 | 13.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 71.81 USD | 0.3% | 62.60 USD | 59.20 USD | 1.51 | 4.86 | 13.1M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 71.58 USD | -0.4% | 62.29 USD | 59.05 USD | 0.92 | 1.99 | 15.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 71.90 USD | 0.5% | 61.93 USD | 58.89 USD | 0.31 | 3.31 | 32.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 71.53 USD | 22.3% | 61.53 USD | 58.73 USD | -0.36 | 3.34 | 53.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 58.50 USD | 0.9% | 61.12 USD | 58.57 USD | -0.89 | -17.59 | 3.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 57.99 USD | 5.8% | 61.15 USD | 58.48 USD | -0.75 | -17.45 | 5.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 54.79 USD | -8.7% | 61.22 USD | 58.39 USD | -0.47 | -21.66 | 6.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 60.00 USD | -0.6% | 61.46 USD | 58.32 USD | -0.29 | -14.51 | 4.9M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 60.39 USD | -4.5% | 61.50 USD | 58.21 USD | -0.20 | -12.35 | 5.1M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 63.24 USD | 4.3% | 61.75 USD | 58.10 USD | -0.27 | -7.75 | 7.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.