BUSE NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

First Busey Corp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 30.86 USD
3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 5.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 85d.

Setup score 77 out of 100
Latest Close 30.86 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 5.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.0%. Indicator stack 100/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 53/100 conviction; expected move 22.6%. News sentiment 57/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 85d Next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.0% over four weeks, 16.0% over 12 weeks, and 43.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.4%
4W5.0%
12W16.0%
26W26.4%
52W43.8%
Active trend streak55 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change216.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
198.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-5.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

BUSE shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 22.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction53/100
Expected move22.6%
Put/call volume0.08
Pressure97
Speculation15
Volatility95
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

18 positive · 30 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings85dNext report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move22.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape78/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 2 reversal markers Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 83; Small Cap Core rank 65 SVQF44/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 408.5 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

BUSE shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 22.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 22.6% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

First Busey (BUSE) director Stanley Bradshaw exits board role Insiders16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings85d

Next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202630.86 USD3.4%26.65 USD22.76 USD1.4812.615.6MOn
24 Jul 202629.85 USD0.4%26.41 USD22.69 USD1.459.844.1MOn
17 Jul 202629.73 USD2.7%26.21 USD22.62 USD1.557.854.4MOn
10 Jul 202628.95 USD-1.5%26.03 USD22.56 USD1.570.674.0MOn
3 Jul 202629.39 USD-0.5%25.89 USD22.49 USD1.653.983.9MOn
26 Jun 202629.54 USD5.6%25.69 USD22.42 USD1.675.365.4MOn
19 Jun 202627.99 USD-2.8%25.48 USD22.34 USD1.42-4.643.6MOn
12 Jun 202628.79 USD4.4%25.30 USD22.27 USD1.150.564.0MOn
5 Jun 202627.58 USD0.8%25.10 USD22.21 USD0.64-1.474.4MOn
29 May 202627.37 USD1.1%24.93 USD22.15 USD0.29-6.723.0MOn
22 May 202627.08 USD4.9%24.75 USD22.09 USD0.16-5.222.6MOn
15 May 202625.81 USD-3.0%24.61 USD22.02 USD0.09-8.713.0MOn
8 May 202626.61 USD0.0%24.48 USD21.96 USD0.24-6.412.7MOn
1 May 202626.61 USD1.6%24.32 USD21.89 USD0.29-1.532.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.