- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.46% based on similar historical setup states.
TTE
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TotalEnergies SE ADR · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Latest close
87.86 USD
1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a 14.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
65
out of 100
Latest Close
87.86 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.6%.
Indicator stack
59/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.46%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
53/100 conviction; expected move 5.2%.
News sentiment
56/100
33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
23 Jul
Latest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a 14.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5112-week average 0.80
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.6% over four weeks, 0.6% over 12 weeks, and 55.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change661.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework90/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 10.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 21.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 38.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 10.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
TTE shows bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction53/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume0.03
Insider activity9 / 4
9 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
12 positive · 19 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings23 JulLatest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Energy
4-week rank36 / 100
Group average9.9%
Trend breadth66.0%
Trend66.0%active weekly trend signals
MD21.0%positive activity pressure
RS77.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank12 / 18
Group average15.5%
Trend breadth61.1%
Trend61.1%active weekly trend signals
MD11.1%positive activity pressure
RS83.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis46/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.51; 12 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.46%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.46% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors86/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 18 SVQF90/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 103.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options48/100TTE shows bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.2% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
TotalEnergies (TTE) Posts A War-Driven Earnings Surge, But The Real Test Is What Happens To LNG Once It Fades Insiders9 / 49 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings23 JulLatest stored earnings date was 23 Jul 2026.
Research flow1 items1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 87.86 USD | 1.2% | 82.02 USD | 62.05 USD | -0.56 | 10.60 | 5.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 86.80 USD | 6.6% | 81.28 USD | 61.81 USD | -0.72 | 10.98 | 12.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 81.39 USD | 3.7% | 80.52 USD | 61.57 USD | -0.93 | 3.93 | 10.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 78.50 USD | 2.4% | 79.94 USD | 61.36 USD | -0.99 | -1.05 | 6.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 76.69 USD | 1.2% | 79.46 USD | 61.17 USD | -0.91 | -1.89 | 7.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 75.79 USD | -4.6% | 79.03 USD | 60.97 USD | -0.82 | -0.85 | 9.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 79.44 USD | -8.6% | 78.64 USD | 60.78 USD | -0.77 | 1.58 | 8.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 86.94 USD | -0.8% | 78.07 USD | 60.58 USD | -0.57 | 12.26 | 6.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 87.62 USD | 1.6% | 77.31 USD | 60.32 USD | -0.32 | 14.13 | 5.6M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 86.20 USD | -4.7% | 76.42 USD | 60.07 USD | -0.11 | 9.97 | 6.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 90.43 USD | -0.7% | 75.58 USD | 59.83 USD | 0.30 | 17.44 | 5.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 91.10 USD | 4.3% | 74.59 USD | 59.56 USD | 0.55 | 19.94 | 4.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 87.35 USD | -4.6% | 73.57 USD | 59.29 USD | 0.80 | 15.85 | 6.3M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 91.59 USD | 2.1% | 72.55 USD | 59.04 USD | 1.21 | 24.81 | 9.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.