CVE NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cenovus Energy Inc · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF
Latest close 29.28 USD
4.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a 18.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 29.28 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.8% latest completed week
4W Return 18.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.01% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 18.0%. Indicator stack 99/31 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.01% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 9.2%. News sentiment 56/100 77 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a 18.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6612-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.0% over four weeks, 0.6% over 12 weeks, and 108.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.8%
4W18.0%
12W0.6%
26W57.9%
52W108.4%
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-65.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership29.29Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change94.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
21.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
28.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-16.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
64.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CVE shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.41, expected move of 9.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move9.2%
Put/call volume0.41
Pressure50
Speculation41
Volatility66
Trend agreement54
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

31 positive · 39 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.3%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+4.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape68/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis69/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.66; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.01%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.01% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors89/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 12 SVQF68/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 326.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options62/100

CVE shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.41, expected move of 9.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 9.2% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

Dominion Energy to Report Q2 Earnings: What to Expect From the Stock? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202629.28 USD4.8%24.51 USD17.63 USD-0.7429.2931.4MOn
17 Jul 202627.95 USD5.9%24.08 USD17.55 USD-0.9124.0428.3MOn
10 Jul 202626.40 USD7.1%23.70 USD17.48 USD-0.9916.5042.0MOn
3 Jul 202624.65 USD-0.6%23.41 USD17.41 USD-0.8011.1124.4MOn
26 Jun 202624.81 USD-1.4%23.18 USD17.35 USD-0.4415.0642.4MOn
19 Jun 202625.16 USD-10.5%22.94 USD17.29 USD-0.1314.8237.2MOn
12 Jun 202628.11 USD0.2%22.68 USD17.22 USD0.4030.2853.1MOn
5 Jun 202628.06 USD2.4%22.34 USD17.14 USD0.6931.9635.6MOn
29 May 202627.41 USD-8.3%21.97 USD17.06 USD0.9727.0632.3MOn
22 May 202629.88 USD-2.5%21.61 USD16.99 USD1.2641.8944.7MOn
15 May 202630.64 USD8.5%21.17 USD16.89 USD1.2148.5332.3MOn
8 May 202628.24 USD-3.0%20.70 USD16.79 USD1.0838.9857.8MOn
1 May 202629.10 USD11.3%20.33 USD16.70 USD1.0248.2145.4MOn
24 Apr 202626.14 USD7.3%19.91 USD16.61 USD1.0536.2629.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.