Ticker Options Intelligence

CVE options intelligence

Cenovus Energy Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 51 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 03:43 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CVE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.36

Call-side skew

Trend fit 48

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.8%

RS 29.3

Expected move 7.8%
Put-call volume 0.36
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.40
Max pain 28.00
Underlying 29.28
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 336

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

74/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $481412 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+55
1W price+4.8%
Call premium77%
Put premium23%
Notional split C 77% / P 23% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 48/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 30 Jul Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 169 contracts traded, $93585 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$93585
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 543 contracts traded, $86312 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$86312
Puts · 22-45 days · ATM puts cluster with 450 contracts traded, $73100 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$73100
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 318 contracts traded, $67572 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$67572
Calls · 22-45 days · ATM calls cluster with 441 contracts traded, $43942 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$43942

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

0

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank0th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close29.28
1W+4.8%
RS29.3
Fair value+66.1%
Options pressure55
Speculation40
Volatility59
Trend fit48

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.8% muted
30d avg 9.2% · 1 read 0th
90d avg 9.2% · 1 read 0th
180d avg 9.2% · 1 read 0th
IV 0.40 muted
30d avg 0.42 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.42 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.42 · 1 read 0th
Put-call 0.36 muted
30d avg 0.41 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.41 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.41 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.02 muted
30d avg 0.02 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.02 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.02 · 1 read 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:07 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 9.2%
30 Jul 02:43 Bullish
Pressure 55
Move 7.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike16.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike18.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 14
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike19.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 19
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike21.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 101
Strike22.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 178
Strike23.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 1072

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.40
Put-call0.49
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.21
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.13
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts54
Avg IV0.39
Put-call1.68
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.43
Skew0.03
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.41
Skew0.02
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.41
Skew0.02
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.40
Skew0.05
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.43
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCVE260821P00030000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume415
OI431
IV0.41
ContractCVE260918C00029000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike29.00
Volume338
OI823
IV0.38
ContractCVE260821C00029000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike29.00
Volume228
OI2394
IV0.41
ContractCVE260821C00030000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume213
OI2208
IV0.38
ContractCVE260821C00028000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike28.00
Volume208
OI2246
IV0.42
ContractCVE260918C00030000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike30.00
Volume205
OI6417
IV0.39
ContractCVE260821C00031000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike31.00
Volume135
OI1359
IV0.41
ContractCVE260918C00031000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike31.00
Volume118
OI840
IV0.35