VALEN MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vale S.A. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Latest close 250.0 MXN
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -4.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 250.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -4.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio - vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -4.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.80

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.2% over four weeks, -9.8% over 12 weeks, and 32.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-4.2%
12W-9.8%
26W-8.7%
52W32.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-85.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

3 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks6
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026250.0 MXN0.0%272.6 MXN221.5 MXN-1.250.720Off
17 Jul 2026250.0 MXN-1.5%272.1 MXN221.4 MXN-1.160.571.2KOff
10 Jul 2026253.8 MXN-2.2%271.4 MXN221.3 MXN-1.152.589.8KOff
3 Jul 2026259.5 MXN-0.6%270.8 MXN221.2 MXN-1.234.2435Off
26 Jun 2026261.0 MXN0.3%270.0 MXN221.0 MXN-1.114.9321Off
19 Jun 2026260.2 MXN0.0%268.9 MXN220.8 MXN-0.974.240On
12 Jun 2026260.2 MXN-9.2%267.6 MXN220.6 MXN-0.694.260On
5 Jun 2026286.5 MXN0.0%266.5 MXN220.5 MXN-0.4818.380On
29 May 2026286.5 MXN-2.9%264.3 MXN220.2 MXN-0.5014.86209On
22 May 2026294.9 MXN0.0%262.3 MXN219.9 MXN-0.5919.370On
15 May 2026294.9 MXN5.5%259.4 MXN219.5 MXN-0.5520.77525On
8 May 2026279.6 MXN0.9%256.3 MXN219.1 MXN-0.4312.03428On
1 May 2026277.2 MXN-8.1%253.7 MXN218.8 MXN-0.2714.8466On
24 Apr 2026301.7 MXN0.0%251.1 MXN218.6 MXN-0.2523.200On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.