- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
HNRG
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hallador Energy Company · Energy · Thermal Coal
Latest close
15.24 USD
-4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -13.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 67/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
15.24 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-13.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -13.1%.
Indicator stack
32/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
67/100 conviction; expected move 16.4%.
News sentiment
54/100
68 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -13.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -13.1% over four weeks, -2.4% over 12 weeks, and -5.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-153.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-43.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 31.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 18.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 4.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 28.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 23.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -7.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -9.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -9.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
HNRG shows volatility options pressure with a 67/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.62, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction67/100
Expected move16.4%
Put/call volume6.62
Insider activity18 / 2
18 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.
18 positive · 43 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-4.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses9
Recent vol9.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Energy
4-week rank- / 100
Group average8.3%
Trend breadth65.0%
Trend65.0%active weekly trend signals
MD15.0%positive activity pressure
RS78.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Thermal Coal
4-week rank6 / 6
Group average-4.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 74 SVQF53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 344.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options62/100HNRG shows volatility options pressure with a 67/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.62, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 16.4% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.
Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis Insiders18 / 218 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 15.24 USD | -4.6% | 17.70 USD | 13.17 USD | -0.16 | -24.13 | 2.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 15.98 USD | -2.1% | 17.83 USD | 13.13 USD | 0.11 | -22.04 | 3.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 16.33 USD | 0.5% | 17.94 USD | 13.09 USD | 0.34 | -23.91 | 3.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 16.25 USD | -7.3% | 18.14 USD | 13.04 USD | 0.28 | -23.24 | 3.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17.53 USD | -9.9% | 18.26 USD | 12.99 USD | 0.30 | -16.82 | 4.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 19.45 USD | 18.3% | 18.36 USD | 12.93 USD | 0.28 | -12.05 | 4.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 16.44 USD | -1.3% | 18.35 USD | 12.86 USD | 0.08 | -23.82 | 3.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 16.66 USD | -13.5% | 18.48 USD | 12.81 USD | 0.12 | -21.42 | 3.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.26 USD | 7.2% | 18.58 USD | 12.76 USD | 0.26 | -13.76 | 2.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 17.96 USD | -1.0% | 18.66 USD | 12.69 USD | -0.11 | -17.63 | 3.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 18.15 USD | -3.5% | 18.75 USD | 12.62 USD | -0.34 | -16.24 | 4.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 18.81 USD | 20.4% | 18.80 USD | 12.56 USD | -0.55 | -14.10 | 9.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 15.62 USD | -2.2% | 18.85 USD | 12.50 USD | -0.97 | -24.98 | 4.4M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 15.97 USD | 1.4% | 18.97 USD | 12.45 USD | -0.99 | -22.44 | 4.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.