- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ARLP
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alliance Resource Partners LP · Energy · Thermal Coal
Latest close
24.62 USD
-2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
24.62 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.5%.
Indicator stack
20/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
53/100 conviction; expected move 2.9%.
News sentiment
56/100
59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 3.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.34
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, -2.0% over 12 weeks, and 4.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change31.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth62/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 28.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4147.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9367.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3760.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -5.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -14.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 19631.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 9.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
ARLP shows bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 2.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction53/100
Expected move2.9%
Put/call volume0.11
Insider activity1 / 0
1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
21 positive · 34 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move2.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Energy
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.9%
Trend breadth64.0%
Trend64.0%active weekly trend signals
MD29.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Thermal Coal
4-week rank3 / 6
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Factors64/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 46 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options48/100ARLP shows bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 2.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.9% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
Alliance Resource: The Great Coal Yield (NASDAQ:ARLP) Insiders1 / 01 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 24.62 USD | -2.8% | 24.96 USD | 21.29 USD | -0.48 | -10.16 | 3.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 25.33 USD | 5.0% | 24.91 USD | 21.23 USD | -0.79 | -3.19 | 1.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.12 USD | 1.2% | 24.80 USD | 21.16 USD | -1.14 | -7.64 | 967.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 23.84 USD | 0.2% | 24.75 USD | 21.09 USD | -1.13 | -10.62 | 1.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23.79 USD | 2.4% | 24.69 USD | 21.03 USD | -1.11 | -14.92 | 1.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 23.24 USD | -5.1% | 24.67 USD | 20.96 USD | -1.02 | -15.89 | 1.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 24.48 USD | 4.1% | 24.66 USD | 20.90 USD | -0.87 | -11.13 | 1.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 23.52 USD | -6.0% | 24.62 USD | 20.83 USD | -0.90 | -18.77 | 1.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 25.03 USD | -2.3% | 24.58 USD | 20.76 USD | -0.83 | -11.82 | 1.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 25.62 USD | 3.1% | 24.54 USD | 20.68 USD | -0.72 | -8.12 | 1.6M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 24.85 USD | -0.1% | 24.46 USD | 20.60 USD | -0.67 | -15.23 | 1.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 24.88 USD | -1.0% | 24.39 USD | 20.52 USD | -0.44 | -13.18 | 1.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 25.13 USD | 1.1% | 24.28 USD | 20.44 USD | -0.28 | -11.77 | 2.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 24.85 USD | -2.7% | 24.19 USD | 20.37 USD | -0.21 | -13.50 | 2.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.