BTU NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Peabody Energy Corp · Energy · Thermal Coal

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Latest close 22.80 USD
1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a -3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 46/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 22.80 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.0%. Indicator stack 37/28 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 7.0%. News sentiment 46/100 83 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a -3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.0% over four weeks, -13.8% over 12 weeks, and 38.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%
4W-3.0%
12W-13.8%
26W-39.6%
52W38.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-22.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality14/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
35.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
6.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-2.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-7.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-5.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

BTU shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move7.0%
Put/call volume0.35
Pressure53
Speculation40
Volatility84
Trend agreement14
Open options detail
Insider activity19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment46/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 83 relevant articles.

11 positive · 50 neutral · 22 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-15.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 13 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

BTU shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.0% Sentiment46/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 83 relevant articles.

Is PBF Energy (PBF) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year? Insiders19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202622.80 USD1.6%29.52 USD22.96 USD-1.10-23.5910.2MOff
17 Jul 202622.44 USD-4.0%29.77 USD22.95 USD-1.26-25.079.2MOff
10 Jul 202623.37 USD4.8%30.05 USD22.94 USD-1.27-22.9712.8MOff
3 Jul 202622.30 USD-5.1%30.23 USD22.92 USD-1.20-25.2612.5MOff
26 Jun 202623.51 USD-5.2%30.45 USD22.91 USD-0.91-19.2413.9MOff
19 Jun 202624.80 USD-9.5%30.57 USD22.89 USD-0.70-16.3614.3MOff
12 Jun 202627.40 USD-2.5%30.62 USD22.86 USD-0.78-6.2513.5MOff
5 Jun 202628.10 USD3.9%30.66 USD22.81 USD-0.95-2.6422.6MOff
29 May 202627.05 USD10.2%30.73 USD22.75 USD-1.13-7.8927.3MOff
22 May 202624.55 USD3.6%30.74 USD22.70 USD-1.39-14.6213.1MOff
15 May 202623.70 USD0.8%30.88 USD22.65 USD-1.43-16.5013.7MOff
8 May 202623.52 USD-11.1%31.12 USD22.63 USD-1.40-16.6621.7MOff
1 May 202626.45 USD-0.3%31.36 USD22.61 USD-1.44-3.7412.9MOff
24 Apr 202626.52 USD3.7%31.54 USD22.58 USD-1.20-1.8712.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.