ALAB NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Astera Labs, Inc. · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 291.6 USD
-4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -25.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 291.6 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.0% latest completed week
4W Return -25.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 43.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -25.6%. Indicator stack 77/54 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.43% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 48/100 conviction; expected move 7.5%. News sentiment 54/100 65 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -25.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -25.6% over four weeks, 43.9% over 12 weeks, and 138.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.0%
4W-25.6%
12W43.9%
26W71.9%
52W138.6%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-66.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership34.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-61.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
186.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
49.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
178.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
76.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
26.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
42.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
19.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
104.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
546.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
133.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ALAB shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.75, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move7.5%
Put/call volume0.75
Pressure16
Speculation44
Volatility86
Trend agreement90
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

22 positive · 34 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.9%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-26.5%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-4.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol14.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.2% / -9.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.43%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.43% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 55 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

ALAB shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.75, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 7.5% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

Why is Astera Labs stock surging today? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026291.6 USD-4.0%223.5 USD131.4 USD0.5334.1417.0MOn
17 Jul 2026303.6 USD-26.5%219.4 USD130.1 USD0.9339.2224.9MOn
10 Jul 2026413.0 USD1.6%214.7 USD128.7 USD1.3984.3520.7MOn
3 Jul 2026406.4 USD3.7%205.9 USD126.3 USD1.5189.3825.5MOn
26 Jun 2026391.7 USD-6.1%197.8 USD124.0 USD1.5789.0127.7MOn
19 Jun 2026417.1 USD13.6%190.0 USD121.7 USD1.6397.1939.0MOn
12 Jun 2026367.1 USD15.8%180.8 USD119.2 USD1.6382.9929.4MOn
5 Jun 2026317.1 USD-7.5%173.4 USD117.0 USD1.5665.5427.5MOn
29 May 2026342.9 USD11.7%168.3 USD115.3 USD1.5474.3724.8MOn
22 May 2026306.9 USD31.9%163.1 USD113.3 USD1.4464.0239.3MOn
15 May 2026232.7 USD16.5%158.4 USD111.6 USD1.3428.1527.6MOn
8 May 2026199.8 USD-1.4%155.9 USD110.5 USD1.2110.9632.0MOff
1 May 2026202.7 USD-4.8%156.2 USD109.7 USD0.8019.9824.8MOff
24 Apr 2026212.8 USD22.3%156.1 USD108.9 USD0.2129.4833.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.