AMBA NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ambarella Inc · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

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Latest close 68.06 USD
10.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.1%, after a 9.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 28d.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 68.06 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 10.1% latest completed week
4W Return 9.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 10.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.5%. Indicator stack 37/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 8.6%. News sentiment 55/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 28d Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.1%, after a 9.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.34

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.5% over four weeks, -4.9% over 12 weeks, and 1.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.1%
4W9.5%
12W-4.9%
26W1.3%
52W1.1%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-26.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
58.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-16.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-10.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
28.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-36.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AMBA shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction54/100
Expected move8.6%
Put/call volume0.16
Pressure78
Speculation44
Volatility90
Trend agreement10
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 17

1 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

20 positive · 30 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings28dNext report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-20.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+10.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol12.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.45; 4 reversal markers Factors13/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 94 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options39/100

AMBA shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.6% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Is Ambarella (AMBA) Undervalued Or Is Its Edge AI Promise Already Priced In? Insiders1 / 17

1 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings28d

Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202668.06 USD10.1%65.93 USD62.27 USD0.40-12.468.0MOn
17 Jul 202661.84 USD-20.0%66.04 USD62.35 USD0.46-21.997.5MOn
10 Jul 202677.30 USD-1.4%66.40 USD62.46 USD0.63-7.097.5MOn
3 Jul 202678.36 USD26.1%66.33 USD62.49 USD0.62-4.3515.1MOn
26 Jun 202662.13 USD-11.2%66.19 USD62.51 USD0.54-23.656.0MOff
19 Jun 202669.97 USD3.2%66.59 USD62.65 USD0.75-18.365.0MOff
12 Jun 202667.78 USD6.7%67.13 USD62.70 USD0.93-18.866.4MOff
5 Jun 202663.52 USD-12.0%67.80 USD62.82 USD1.10-22.2410.8MOff
29 May 202672.18 USD-17.6%68.67 USD62.94 USD1.24-15.7714.3MOff
22 May 202687.55 USD7.9%69.10 USD62.97 USD1.165.054.0MOff
15 May 202681.16 USD6.4%69.04 USD62.91 USD0.99-1.445.0MOff
8 May 202676.30 USD6.6%69.09 USD62.85 USD0.54-7.765.2MOff
1 May 202671.56 USD7.0%68.97 USD62.78 USD-0.06-8.793.0MOff
24 Apr 202666.87 USD14.8%69.39 USD62.75 USD-0.54-13.414.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.