MOGU NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MOGU Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

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Latest close 1.89 USD
-0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 13.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 1.89 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 13.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -18.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.2%. Indicator stack 16/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 50/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 20 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 20 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 13.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.2% over four weeks, -18.9% over 12 weeks, and -15.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.5%
4W13.2%
12W-18.9%
26W-3.3%
52W-15.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-20.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-29.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-306.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-63.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-39.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-7.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

5 positive · 21 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings20 JulLatest stored earnings date was 20 Jul 2026.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-76.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-20.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.5% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis12/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 53 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

MOGU Inc. Revenue Breakdown – NYSE:MOGU Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings20 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 20 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261.89 USD-0.5%2.20 USD2.26 USD-0.75-29.9010.2KOff
17 Jul 20261.90 USD-8.2%2.22 USD2.26 USD-0.70-30.3131.9KOff
10 Jul 20262.07 USD1.0%2.24 USD2.27 USD-0.57-25.7623.7KOff
3 Jul 20262.05 USD22.8%2.26 USD2.27 USD-0.68-25.9073.8KOff
26 Jun 20261.67 USD-20.9%2.28 USD2.27 USD-0.62-38.54325.1KOff
19 Jun 20262.11 USD10.5%2.31 USD2.28 USD-0.65-24.6435.9KOff
12 Jun 20261.91 USD-7.3%2.33 USD2.28 USD-0.72-31.4151.5KOff
5 Jun 20262.06 USD1.5%2.35 USD2.28 USD-0.57-25.97143.4KOff
29 May 20262.03 USD1.0%2.37 USD2.29 USD-0.48-29.1518.0KOff
22 May 20262.01 USD-5.2%2.40 USD2.29 USD-0.18-29.1856.8KOff
15 May 20262.12 USD-7.4%2.43 USD2.29 USD0.13-25.0698.2KOff
8 May 20262.29 USD-1.8%2.47 USD2.30 USD0.31-19.3836.7KOff
1 May 20262.33 USD-3.7%2.50 USD2.30 USD0.43-16.517.7KOff
24 Apr 20262.42 USD-3.1%2.54 USD2.30 USD0.33-12.7837.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.