PGR MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: PGR weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

The Progressive Corporation · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 3,725 MXN

0.4% latest week

Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -3.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 37 out of 100

Latest Close 3,725 MXN 24 Jul 2026

1W Return 0.4% latest completed week

4W Return -3.9% short-term follow-through

12W Return 5.2% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average

What is working

Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.56% based on similar historical setup states.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 0.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.9%. Indicator stack 0/78 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.56% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 25 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -3.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

3,348 MXN 26.3% 4,784 MXN

Range location26.3%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance3.1%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap-7.2%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-22.1%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.9% over four weeks, 5.2% over 12 weeks, and -19.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%

4W-3.9%

12W5.2%

26W3.6%

52W-19.6%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year0

Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change77.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-7.04Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change3.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

2 positive · 22 neutral · 1 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-22.1%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.

Best week+9.0%Week of 26 Jun.

Worst week-7.2%Week of 17 Jul.

Latest week+0.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3

Modest gains11

Flat weeks1

Modest losses8

Sharp losses3

Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew2.2% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorMX Financial Services

4-week rank64 / 80

Group average1.0%

Trend breadth40.0%

Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals

MD66.2%positive activity pressure

RS43.8%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

SBET · MEX27.0%PYPL · MEX26.6%BMNR · MEX16.9%MSCI · MEX15.4%MCO · MEX13.3%

IndustryMX Insurance - Property & Casualty

4-week rank3 / 4

Group average-1.5%

Trend breadth25.0%

Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals

MD100.0%positive activity pressure

RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

LMND · MEX7.0%MKL · MEX0.0%PGR · MEX-3.9%Q · MEX-9.3%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.56%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.56% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

Janus Henderson Group PLC Lowers Position in The Progressive Corporation $PGR Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	3,725 MXN	0.4%	3,612 MXN	4,014 MXN	1.21	-7.04	16	Off
17 Jul 2026	3,710 MXN	-7.2%	3,623 MXN	4,003 MXN	1.35	-8.49	1.1K	Off
10 Jul 2026	4,000 MXN	0.8%	3,634 MXN	3,993 MXN	1.32	-1.94	1.1K	Off
3 Jul 2026	3,970 MXN	2.4%	3,639 MXN	3,979 MXN	1.09	-4.11	1.4K	Off
26 Jun 2026	3,876 MXN	9.0%	3,642 MXN	3,968 MXN	0.68	-7.29	3.1K	Off
19 Jun 2026	3,557 MXN	3.1%	3,650 MXN	3,958 MXN	0.34	-16.28	0	Off
12 Jun 2026	3,448 MXN	2.6%	3,672 MXN	3,950 MXN	0.28	-20.06	534	Off
5 Jun 2026	3,360 MXN	0.1%	3,693 MXN	3,941 MXN	0.21	-20.92	0	Off
29 May 2026	3,355 MXN	-5.4%	3,711 MXN	3,934 MXN	0.25	-24.73	1.3K	Off
22 May 2026	3,545 MXN	4.3%	3,726 MXN	3,927 MXN	0.34	-21.13	640	Off
15 May 2026	3,399 MXN	1.5%	3,744 MXN	3,920 MXN	0.39	-24.85	371	Off
8 May 2026	3,348 MXN	-5.4%	3,768 MXN	3,913 MXN	0.28	-28.91	572	Off
1 May 2026	3,540 MXN	1.6%	3,807 MXN	3,907 MXN	0.19	-23.70	38	Off
24 Apr 2026	3,484 MXN	2.1%	3,840 MXN	3,899 MXN	0.01	-27.34	11.7K	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.