PBRN MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Latest close 328.0 MXN
6.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 15.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 328.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.7% latest completed week
4W Return 15.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.35% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 15.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3912-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.1% over four weeks, -14.7% over 12 weeks, and 40.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.7%
4W15.1%
12W-14.7%
26W31.3%
52W40.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change16.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership18.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change658.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

4 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+6.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026328.0 MXN6.7%307.8 MXN266.5 MXN-0.8018.354.3KOff
17 Jul 2026307.5 MXN2.8%303.7 MXN265.9 MXN-0.9710.97593Off
10 Jul 2026299.2 MXN6.9%300.5 MXN265.4 MXN-1.018.527.8KOff
3 Jul 2026280.0 MXN-1.8%297.8 MXN264.9 MXN-1.020.8340Off
26 Jun 2026285.0 MXN-1.0%295.9 MXN264.6 MXN-0.962.42352On
19 Jun 2026288.0 MXN-8.9%294.4 MXN264.3 MXN-0.802.850On
12 Jun 2026316.0 MXN1.2%292.8 MXN264.0 MXN-0.5712.3429On
5 Jun 2026312.2 MXN-3.4%290.4 MXN263.5 MXN-0.3414.3018On
29 May 2026323.3 MXN-6.2%287.8 MXN262.9 MXN-0.0214.6731.8KOn
22 May 2026344.7 MXN0.3%284.2 MXN262.2 MXN0.3523.20690On
15 May 2026343.7 MXN-2.2%280.0 MXN261.3 MXN0.6524.181.4KOn
8 May 2026351.5 MXN-8.6%275.7 MXN260.4 MXN0.9324.193.9KOn
1 May 2026384.7 MXN6.9%271.1 MXN259.4 MXN1.1740.55810On
24 Apr 2026359.7 MXN2.3%265.9 MXN258.2 MXN1.2429.832.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.