BPN MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BP p.l.c. · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Latest close 735.1 MXN
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 10.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 735.1 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return 10.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.00% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 10.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.2% over four weeks, -10.6% over 12 weeks, and 21.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W10.2%
12W-10.6%
26W15.4%
52W21.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.85Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change180.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

1 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026735.1 MXN2.4%723.8 MXN642.0 MXN-0.854.869Off
17 Jul 2026718.2 MXN4.5%719.4 MXN641.2 MXN-0.902.14127Off
10 Jul 2026687.0 MXN6.0%716.7 MXN640.6 MXN-0.97-2.10545Off
3 Jul 2026648.0 MXN-2.8%715.6 MXN640.1 MXN-0.94-8.50140Off
26 Jun 2026667.0 MXN-6.8%716.0 MXN639.7 MXN-0.78-6.06938Off
19 Jun 2026716.0 MXN-5.9%716.3 MXN639.2 MXN-0.660.110On
12 Jun 2026760.9 MXN0.0%714.9 MXN638.5 MXN-0.385.980On
5 Jun 2026760.9 MXN5.8%712.0 MXN637.4 MXN-0.099.110On
29 May 2026719.2 MXN-8.7%708.9 MXN636.5 MXN0.21-0.201.3KOn
22 May 2026787.5 MXN-2.8%705.7 MXN635.7 MXN0.529.8511On
15 May 2026810.0 MXN0.1%700.2 MXN634.6 MXN0.7313.980On
8 May 2026809.5 MXN-1.6%694.0 MXN633.4 MXN0.8011.2443On
1 May 2026822.3 MXN2.9%688.0 MXN632.3 MXN0.9116.7112On
24 Apr 2026799.2 MXN3.8%682.2 MXN631.2 MXN0.9811.71526On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.