NOMD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nomad Foods Ltd · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

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Latest close 11.90 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 4.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 11.90 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return 4.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 28.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.2%. Indicator stack 0/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 8.2%. News sentiment 55/100 66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 4.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.15

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.2% over four weeks, 28.4% over 12 weeks, and -25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W4.2%
12W28.4%
26W-3.3%
52W-25.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change59.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework72/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-40.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-16.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
10.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
16.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NOMD shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move8.2%
Put/call volume0.23
Pressure70
Speculation5
Volatility77
Trend agreement5
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

21 positive · 42 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.40; No reversal markers Factors44/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 5 SVQF72/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 289.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options43/100

NOMD shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.23, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.2% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

Is Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) a Bargain After 4.1% Drop? GF Value Sa Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202611.90 USD1.5%10.69 USD14.66 USD1.21-5.348.2MOff
24 Jul 202611.72 USD1.8%10.69 USD14.69 USD1.17-6.837.8MOff
17 Jul 202611.51 USD-0.2%10.70 USD14.72 USD1.19-10.176.1MOff
10 Jul 202611.53 USD1.0%10.73 USD14.75 USD1.09-12.486.2MOff
3 Jul 202611.42 USD2.7%10.75 USD14.78 USD1.00-13.246.1MOff
26 Jun 202611.12 USD11.0%10.75 USD14.80 USD0.81-14.728.6MOff
19 Jun 202610.02 USD-3.9%10.78 USD14.83 USD0.47-25.884.7MOff
12 Jun 202610.43 USD5.2%10.84 USD14.87 USD0.29-23.274.5MOff
5 Jun 20269.91 USD-2.3%10.88 USD14.90 USD0.05-27.695.2MOff
29 May 202610.14 USD-1.3%10.94 USD14.94 USD-0.16-28.876.8MOff
22 May 202610.27 USD4.8%10.96 USD14.98 USD-0.34-28.017.5MOff
15 May 20269.80 USD5.7%11.00 USD15.01 USD-0.54-31.7511.5MOff
8 May 20269.27 USD-0.8%11.06 USD15.05 USD-0.68-36.3212.0MOff
1 May 20269.35 USD-0.2%11.14 USD15.10 USD-0.81-35.485.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.