JOUT NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Johnson Outdoors Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Latest close 45.99 USD
-0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 8d.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 45.99 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.6% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -13.8% over 12 weeks, and 42.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.6%
4W-1.0%
12W-13.8%
26W1.4%
52W42.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-36.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
37.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity1 / 2

1 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

12 positive · 40 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-20.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202645.99 USD-0.6%46.42 USD38.67 USD-1.15-3.34168.9KOff
17 Jul 202646.25 USD5.3%46.33 USD38.72 USD-0.98-4.08219.3KOff
10 Jul 202643.94 USD1.8%46.23 USD38.77 USD-0.90-12.36297.7KOff
3 Jul 202643.18 USD-7.0%46.15 USD38.82 USD-0.85-12.20269.7KOff
26 Jun 202646.44 USD0.6%46.06 USD38.88 USD-0.85-4.62513.8KOff
19 Jun 202646.19 USD-0.6%45.86 USD38.94 USD-1.11-9.06300.4KOff
12 Jun 202646.47 USD3.6%45.59 USD38.98 USD-1.11-5.83296.3KOff
5 Jun 202644.84 USD0.2%45.29 USD39.03 USD-1.11-6.78267.8KOff
29 May 202644.76 USD2.8%45.07 USD39.09 USD-0.63-10.83211.8KOn
22 May 202643.56 USD6.6%44.92 USD39.14 USD-0.11-10.46510.4KOn
15 May 202640.88 USD-20.5%44.91 USD39.21 USD0.28-14.70478.2KOn
8 May 202651.41 USD-3.6%44.88 USD39.30 USD0.707.10470.0KOn
1 May 202653.34 USD3.4%44.51 USD39.33 USD0.7517.91349.8KOn
24 Apr 202651.60 USD0.4%44.09 USD39.36 USD0.4516.84471.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.