- The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
PTON
NASDAQ
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Peloton Interactive Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Latest close
4.95 USD
-8.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.3%, after a -12.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 47d.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
4.95 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
-8.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-12.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -12.1%.
Indicator stack
55/17
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
56/100 conviction; expected move 2.7%.
News sentiment
49/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
47d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.3%, after a -12.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5512-week average 0.51
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -12.1% over four weeks, -14.2% over 12 weeks, and -34.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-262.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 34.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 9.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 15.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -1.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 21.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 6.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
PTON shows bullish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction56/100
Expected move2.7%
Put/call volume0.06
Insider activity15 / 5
15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
5 positive · 15 neutral · 12 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-8.3%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-6.8%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS22.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Leisure
4-week rank20 / 29
Group average-8.4%
Trend breadth31.0%
Trend31.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.8%positive activity pressure
RS24.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis55/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.55; No reversal markers Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 82; Small Cap Core rank 68 SVQF36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 465.5 of 725 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options49/100PTON shows bullish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.7% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
Peloton Interactive (PTON), Why Is The Story Getting Harder To Ignore? Insiders15 / 515 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 4.95 USD | -8.3% | 5.26 USD | 5.88 USD | -0.64 | -24.21 | 50.0M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 5.40 USD | -0.9% | 5.23 USD | 5.88 USD | -0.52 | -18.82 | 39.5M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 5.45 USD | 0.7% | 5.21 USD | 5.88 USD | -0.26 | -18.87 | 27.8M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 5.41 USD | -3.9% | 5.21 USD | 5.89 USD | 0.13 | -20.07 | 35.4M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 5.63 USD | -0.9% | 5.23 USD | 5.89 USD | 0.40 | -19.85 | 37.9M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.68 USD | -11.1% | 5.25 USD | 5.90 USD | 0.66 | -19.39 | 73.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.39 USD | 5.1% | 5.29 USD | 5.91 USD | 0.72 | -5.78 | 37.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.08 USD | -0.7% | 5.28 USD | 5.93 USD | 0.63 | -10.33 | 31.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.12 USD | 4.4% | 5.28 USD | 5.95 USD | 0.66 | -11.65 | 39.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.86 USD | 1.9% | 5.28 USD | 5.97 USD | 0.64 | -19.30 | 39.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.75 USD | 0.5% | 5.30 USD | 5.98 USD | 0.65 | -19.92 | 34.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.72 USD | -0.9% | 5.33 USD | 6.00 USD | 0.71 | -20.24 | 53.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.77 USD | 4.0% | 5.36 USD | 6.01 USD | 0.89 | -23.79 | 40.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.55 USD | -3.8% | 5.38 USD | 6.02 USD | 1.03 | -25.30 | 45.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.