PTON NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Peloton Interactive Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Latest close 6.08 USD
-0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 6.08 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 6.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 6.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 13.4% over 12 weeks, and -7.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.7%
4W6.3%
12W13.4%
26W4.8%
52W-7.3%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change49.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength71/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Value72/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum21/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Growth22/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
113.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
63.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

PTON shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.42, expected move of 10.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move10.1%
Put/call volume0.42
Pressure48
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement43
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 72 relevant articles.

13 positive · 46 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-17.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20266.08 USD-0.7%5.28 USD5.93 USD0.63-10.3331.2MOn
17 Jul 20266.12 USD4.4%5.28 USD5.95 USD0.66-11.6539.7MOn
10 Jul 20265.86 USD1.9%5.28 USD5.97 USD0.64-19.3039.1MOn
3 Jul 20265.75 USD0.5%5.30 USD5.98 USD0.65-19.9234.3MOff
26 Jun 20265.72 USD-0.9%5.33 USD6.00 USD0.71-20.2453.8MOff
19 Jun 20265.77 USD4.0%5.36 USD6.01 USD0.89-23.7940.1MOff
12 Jun 20265.55 USD-3.8%5.38 USD6.02 USD1.03-25.3045.5MOff
5 Jun 20265.77 USD-9.8%5.45 USD6.04 USD1.06-21.3653.6MOff
29 May 20266.40 USD12.1%5.51 USD6.06 USD1.17-17.57136.3MOff
22 May 20265.71 USD7.9%5.54 USD6.07 USD0.99-25.0278.1MOff
15 May 20265.29 USD-7.0%5.61 USD6.08 USD0.80-30.5755.8MOff
8 May 20265.69 USD6.2%5.68 USD6.09 USD0.69-26.1897.6MOff
1 May 20265.36 USD3.5%5.73 USD6.10 USD0.32-27.2460.6MOff
24 Apr 20265.18 USD1.6%5.83 USD6.11 USD0.05-29.3550.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.