APD NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Air Products and Chemicals Inc · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

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Latest close 294.9 USD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 294.9 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return -6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%. Indicator stack 69/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 48/100 conviction; expected move 5.4%. News sentiment 53/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, 0.4% over 12 weeks, and 6.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W-6.1%
12W0.4%
26W8.9%
52W6.8%
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-21.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.71Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-145.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength8/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
31.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
77.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
37.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-12.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

APD shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.09, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move5.4%
Put/call volume5.09
Pressure-64
Speculation26
Volatility44
Trend agreement43
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 1

16 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

17 positive · 22 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-4.7%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses15
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis48/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.44; 2 reversal markers Factors20/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 68 SVQF16/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 848.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options38/100

APD shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.09, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.4% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

UBS Raises Air Products and Chemicals Price Target to $336 From $330, Maintains Neutral Rating Insiders16 / 1

16 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026294.9 USD-1.0%285.1 USD270.0 USD-0.19-1.716.9MOn
24 Jul 2026297.9 USD0.8%283.5 USD269.8 USD0.030.115.3MOn
17 Jul 2026295.6 USD-1.3%281.8 USD269.7 USD-0.05-1.525.0MOn
10 Jul 2026299.5 USD-4.7%279.8 USD269.6 USD-0.07-2.085.8MOn
3 Jul 2026314.2 USD13.8%277.8 USD269.5 USD-0.163.789.4MOn
26 Jun 2026276.2 USD-0.9%275.9 USD269.2 USD-0.53-6.988.6MOn
19 Jun 2026278.6 USD-0.5%275.3 USD269.2 USD-0.66-8.727.3MOn
12 Jun 2026280.0 USD-0.3%274.5 USD269.1 USD-0.55-7.736.1MOn
5 Jun 2026280.7 USD1.3%273.7 USD269.1 USD-0.33-7.345.3MOn
29 May 2026277.0 USD-3.7%272.8 USD268.9 USD0.02-11.184.9MOn
22 May 2026287.8 USD-2.0%271.6 USD268.8 USD0.53-6.826.0MOn
15 May 2026293.6 USD-0.0%270.4 USD268.6 USD0.78-4.415.5MOn
8 May 2026293.7 USD-1.9%268.9 USD268.4 USD0.89-4.484.7MOn
1 May 2026299.3 USD-0.8%267.6 USD268.1 USD1.04-0.716.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.