MEX Equity Snapshot

CAT Weekly Equity Report

Caterpillar Inc.

Latest Close 15,686 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return -0.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 26.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

CAT closed the latest completed week at 15,686 MXN. The 4-week return is -0.2% and the 12-week return is 26.9%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.31. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 70/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 22.5%
Volume 0.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 94 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 74 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 72 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 4 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 80 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
12,803 MXN
Vs Trend Line
22.5%
Fair Value
7,678 MXN
Vs Fair Value
104.3%
52W High
16,250 MXN
52W Low
6,771 MXN
Drawdown
-3.5%
Range Position
94.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -1.1%
4W -0.2%
12W 26.9%
26W 39.0%
52W 131.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
46 weeks
52W Active Weeks
46
52W Active Breadth
88.5%
Sector Scope
MX Industrials
Sector Rank
55 of 75
Sector Percentile
27.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.31
4W MD Change
-25.2%
Relative Strength
36.05
4W RS Change
-17.5%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
56.48%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
79
13W Average
888
52W Average
1.2K
Vs 13W
0.1x
Vs 52W
0.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.1%
52W Volatility
4.0%
Upside Weeks
35
Downside Weeks
16
Downside Breadth
30.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.9% / -2.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
6910.7B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 46-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 15,686 MXN -1.1% 12,803 MXN 7,678 MXN 1.31 36.05 79 On
5 Jun 2026 15,860 MXN 4.2% 12,617 MXN 7,604 MXN 1.41 43.17 271 On
29 May 2026 15,215 MXN -0.8% 12,439 MXN 7,529 MXN 1.56 34.38 2.3K On
22 May 2026 15,335 MXN -2.5% 12,291 MXN 7,457 MXN 1.72 37.61 724 On
15 May 2026 15,723 MXN 2.1% 12,102 MXN 7,383 MXN 1.75 43.72 173 On
8 May 2026 15,400 MXN -1.3% 11,902 MXN 7,307 MXN 1.67 38.88 917 On
1 May 2026 15,605 MXN 8.0% 11,698 MXN 7,232 MXN 1.47 46.80 2.0K On
24 Apr 2026 14,450 MXN 4.9% 11,485 MXN 7,156 MXN 1.10 35.18 648 On
17 Apr 2026 13,774 MXN 0.2% 11,293 MXN 7,088 MXN 0.91 29.42 1.9K On
10 Apr 2026 13,748 MXN 5.4% 11,119 MXN 7,026 MXN 0.64 30.27 378 On
3 Apr 2026 13,049 MXN 3.6% 10,926 MXN 6,964 MXN 0.44 25.49 112 On
27 Mar 2026 12,599 MXN 1.9% 10,753 MXN 6,906 MXN 0.36 27.74 705 On
20 Mar 2026 12,363 MXN -1.5% 10,604 MXN 6,851 MXN 0.43 31.39 1.4K On
13 Mar 2026 12,549 MXN 2.2% 10,462 MXN 6,797 MXN 0.66 31.40 156 On