W1MG34 SAO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Warner Music Group Corp. · Communication Services · Entertainment

Latest close 33.11 BRL
-3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a -5.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 23 out of 100
Latest Close 33.11 BRL 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.9% latest completed week
4W Return -5.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -17.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a -5.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.26

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.1% over four weeks, -17.2% over 12 weeks, and -22.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.9%
4W-5.1%
12W-17.2%
26W-15.2%
52W-22.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-178.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-14.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.8%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-15.6%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-3.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202633.11 BRL-3.9%37.14 BRL40.68 BRL-0.26-22.7221Off
24 Jul 202634.47 BRL-6.6%37.34 BRL40.70 BRL-0.02-18.6110Off
17 Jul 202636.91 BRL0.0%37.49 BRL40.71 BRL0.21-13.520Off
10 Jul 202636.91 BRL5.8%37.56 BRL40.71 BRL0.27-16.212Off
3 Jul 202634.88 BRL-2.0%37.56 BRL40.68 BRL0.33-19.761Off
26 Jun 202635.60 BRL-2.1%37.66 BRL40.67 BRL0.42-18.110Off
19 Jun 202636.36 BRL-4.0%37.89 BRL40.63 BRL0.70-14.430Off
12 Jun 202637.86 BRL3.3%38.10 BRL40.59 BRL0.92-12.540Off
5 Jun 202636.64 BRL-15.6%38.24 BRL40.54 BRL1.05-14.571Off
29 May 202643.42 BRL2.6%38.43 BRL40.49 BRL1.15-1.92396Off
22 May 202642.31 BRL4.4%38.40 BRL40.40 BRL0.70-5.894Off
15 May 202640.52 BRL1.3%38.43 BRL40.32 BRL0.34-10.602Off
8 May 202640.00 BRL14.8%38.52 BRL40.26 BRL0.01-15.3115Off
1 May 202634.84 BRL-4.0%38.62 BRL40.19 BRL-0.43-27.825Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.