- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
CG
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Carlyle Group Inc. · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
793.0 MXN
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 9.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 44/100.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
793.0 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
9.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 9.1%.
Indicator stack
13/44
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 18.30%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
44/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 9.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 9.1% over four weeks, -3.7% over 12 weeks, and -32.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change44.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment44/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
0 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher5 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains3
Flat weeks14
Modest losses2
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split10/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Financial Services
4-week rank11 / 80
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth41.3%
Trend41.2%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Asset Management
4-week rank3 / 8
Group average5.1%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS12.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape20/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 18.30%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 18.30% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment44/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
The Carlyle Group Inc (CG) Shares Fall 3.8% -- What GF Score of 61 Tells Investors Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 793.0 MXN | 0.0% | 872.1 MXN | 827.7 MXN | -0.53 | -20.82 | 0 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 793.0 MXN | 9.1% | 880.6 MXN | 826.1 MXN | -0.84 | -21.05 | 171 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 727.0 MXN | 0.0% | 889.2 MXN | 824.5 MXN | -1.14 | -28.63 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 727.0 MXN | 0.0% | 899.9 MXN | 823.3 MXN | -1.02 | -28.79 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 727.0 MXN | 0.0% | 910.9 MXN | 822.1 MXN | -0.96 | -29.68 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 727.0 MXN | -8.7% | 919.0 MXN | 820.9 MXN | -0.89 | -30.11 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 795.9 MXN | 0.0% | 927.1 MXN | 819.2 MXN | -0.78 | -24.33 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 795.9 MXN | 0.0% | 933.0 MXN | 817.1 MXN | -0.85 | -24.84 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 795.9 MXN | 0.0% | 938.9 MXN | 815.0 MXN | -0.92 | -23.00 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 795.9 MXN | -3.4% | 944.2 MXN | 812.8 MXN | -1.06 | -25.91 | 118 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 824.0 MXN | 0.0% | 950.7 MXN | 810.7 MXN | -1.15 | -23.23 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 823.7 MXN | 0.0% | 958.7 MXN | 808.4 MXN | -1.12 | -23.02 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 823.7 MXN | 0.0% | 970.3 MXN | 806.1 MXN | -0.99 | -25.25 | 0 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 823.7 MXN | -9.5% | 981.9 MXN | 803.7 MXN | -0.93 | -23.27 | 95 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.