PM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Philip Morris International Inc · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 190.8 USD
-1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 4.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 80d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 190.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return 4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.7%. Indicator stack 74/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 62.76% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 41/100 conviction; expected move 3.2%. News sentiment 56/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 80d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.62

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.7% over four weeks, 12.5% over 12 weeks, and 20.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.1%
4W4.7%
12W12.5%
26W7.3%
52W20.4%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change43.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change5359.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
27.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
67.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
39.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
37.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
38.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
32.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
33.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

PM shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.58, expected move of 3.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move3.2%
Put/call volume0.58
Pressure26
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement67
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

23 positive · 32 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings80dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-9.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis68/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.76%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.76% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 66 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

PM shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.58, expected move of 3.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.2% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

Here's Why Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors Insiders9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings80d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026190.8 USD-1.1%175.6 USD131.1 USD1.034.9127.9MOn
24 Jul 2026193.0 USD0.0%174.5 USD130.5 USD0.947.2530.0MOn
17 Jul 2026193.0 USD6.3%173.4 USD129.8 USD0.776.7223.4MOn
10 Jul 2026181.6 USD-0.4%172.1 USD129.1 USD0.72-1.2821.1MOn
3 Jul 2026182.3 USD0.8%171.1 USD128.5 USD0.720.0925.0MOn
26 Jun 2026180.8 USD2.2%169.9 USD127.9 USD0.461.1323.7MOn
19 Jun 2026176.9 USD-3.2%169.0 USD127.3 USD0.20-3.6831.3MOn
12 Jun 2026182.8 USD3.4%168.2 USD126.7 USD0.05-0.0721.1MOn
5 Jun 2026176.8 USD0.5%167.2 USD126.1 USD0.05-3.2019.1MOn
29 May 2026175.9 USD-6.1%166.3 USD125.4 USD-0.02-6.5119.4MOn
22 May 2026187.5 USD-0.3%165.2 USD124.8 USD-0.130.5421.9MOn
15 May 2026188.1 USD10.9%164.1 USD124.1 USD-0.311.3730.5MOn
8 May 2026169.6 USD2.8%163.0 USD123.5 USD-0.66-8.5722.3MOn
1 May 2026165.0 USD1.3%162.6 USD122.9 USD-0.75-9.3921.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.