MGROS IST Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Migros Ticaret A.S. · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Latest close 623.0 TRY
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -1.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 623.0 TRY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.72% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.5% over four weeks, -8.8% over 12 weeks, and 20.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-1.5%
12W-8.8%
26W-1.5%
52W20.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-574.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change144.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTR Grocery Stores
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average8.5%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026623.0 TRY0.0%640.6 TRY489.4 TRY-0.831.7812.7MOff
24 Jul 2026623.0 TRY-2.0%637.4 TRY487.3 TRY-0.76-1.8411.0MOff
17 Jul 2026635.5 TRY1.6%633.7 TRY485.1 TRY-0.40-0.3312.7MOn
10 Jul 2026625.5 TRY-1.1%630.4 TRY482.7 TRY-0.11-4.3010.5MOn
3 Jul 2026632.5 TRY-8.1%627.2 TRY480.2 TRY0.17-3.9912.6MOn
26 Jun 2026688.5 TRY0.2%622.9 TRY477.6 TRY0.235.371.4MOn
19 Jun 2026687.0 TRY2.2%617.2 TRY474.5 TRY0.001.81997.5KOn
12 Jun 2026672.5 TRY1.6%611.8 TRY471.3 TRY-0.125.252.6MOn
5 Jun 2026662.0 TRY0.5%606.1 TRY468.2 TRY-0.175.361.6MOn
29 May 2026659.0 TRY-4.0%600.5 TRY465.2 TRY-0.075.012.3MOn
22 May 2026686.5 TRY0.6%593.4 TRY462.0 TRY-0.108.069.6MOn
15 May 2026682.5 TRY-0.1%585.7 TRY458.6 TRY-0.233.1515.7MOn
8 May 2026683.4 TRY7.2%577.0 TRY455.3 TRY-0.32-1.7214.4MOn
1 May 2026637.2 TRY0.5%569.0 TRY452.0 TRY-0.41-4.776.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.