CRFSA IST Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci Ticaret Merkezi A.S. · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Latest close 180.2 TRY
13.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.6%, after a 18.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 180.2 TRY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 13.6% latest completed week
4W Return 18.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 45-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.6%, after a 18.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.55

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.9% over four weeks, 23.3% over 12 weeks, and 109.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 45 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.6%
4W18.9%
12W23.3%
26W43.2%
52W109.3%
Active trend streak45 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change285.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership35.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change282.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-22.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+13.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTR Grocery Stores
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average8.5%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026180.2 TRY13.6%139.6 TRY113.4 TRY0.2035.265.3MOn
24 Jul 2026158.6 TRY1.7%137.5 TRY112.6 TRY-0.2116.113.2MOn
17 Jul 2026156.0 TRY11.6%136.2 TRY112.1 TRY-0.2414.733.9MOn
10 Jul 2026139.8 TRY-7.7%135.1 TRY111.5 TRY-0.171.052.6MOn
3 Jul 2026151.5 TRY1.8%134.8 TRY111.0 TRY-0.119.222.4MOn
26 Jun 2026148.8 TRY-5.8%133.6 TRY110.5 TRY-0.238.92429.6KOn
19 Jun 2026158.0 TRY6.8%132.7 TRY109.9 TRY-0.3812.631.0MOn
12 Jun 2026147.9 TRY8.7%131.2 TRY109.3 TRY-0.5112.08791.6KOn
5 Jun 2026136.0 TRY4.9%130.3 TRY108.7 TRY-0.495.441.6MOn
29 May 2026129.6 TRY1.3%130.0 TRY108.2 TRY-0.251.10873.5KOn
22 May 2026127.9 TRY-4.9%129.3 TRY107.7 TRY0.01-1.045.2MOn
15 May 2026134.5 TRY-8.0%129.1 TRY107.1 TRY0.390.113.6MOn
8 May 2026146.2 TRY4.2%128.3 TRY106.5 TRY0.904.025.5MOn
1 May 2026140.3 TRY-5.4%127.2 TRY105.9 TRY1.124.364.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.