NTIC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Northern Technologies · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Latest close 8.02 USD
-0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 8.02 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a -7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.1% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 7.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.2%
4W-7.1%
12W0.8%
26W-11.5%
52W7.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change472.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-26.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength8/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality7/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework12/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
35.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-0.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-108.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity2 / 4

2 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

9 positive · 37 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268.02 USD-0.2%8.41 USD10.76 USD0.19-9.4250.6KOff
24 Jul 20268.04 USD-0.6%8.41 USD10.79 USD0.32-8.9464.6KOff
17 Jul 20268.09 USD-0.7%8.40 USD10.81 USD0.39-10.1433.4KOff
10 Jul 20268.15 USD-5.6%8.39 USD10.84 USD0.26-13.5766.3KOff
3 Jul 20268.63 USD0.5%8.37 USD10.86 USD0.03-7.4529.2KOff
26 Jun 20268.59 USD6.8%8.32 USD10.87 USD-0.21-7.4631.6KOff
19 Jun 20268.04 USD-0.1%8.29 USD10.88 USD-0.52-17.5455.8KOff
12 Jun 20268.05 USD0.6%8.27 USD10.90 USD-0.62-15.6242.3KOff
5 Jun 20268.00 USD0.0%8.27 USD10.92 USD-0.63-14.51103.7KOff
29 May 20268.00 USD0.0%8.27 USD10.93 USD-0.68-18.6744.0KOff
22 May 20268.00 USD1.3%8.25 USD10.95 USD-0.69-16.6928.5KOff
15 May 20267.90 USD-0.8%8.24 USD10.97 USD-0.66-17.09124.9KOff
8 May 20267.96 USD0.1%8.23 USD10.99 USD-0.68-17.09130.0KOff
1 May 20267.95 USD-0.9%8.22 USD11.01 USD-0.73-13.0964.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.