FF NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

FutureFuel Corp · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

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Latest close 4.65 USD
-3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 9.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 4.65 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.1% latest completed week
4W Return 9.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.7%. Indicator stack 68/95 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 22.6%. News sentiment 49/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 9.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.7% over four weeks, -4.3% over 12 weeks, and 14.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.1%
4W9.7%
12W-4.3%
26W39.0%
52W14.1%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change480.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change290.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum34/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-13.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-26.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-47.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-22.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-45.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-151.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FF shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 22.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move22.6%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation1
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 0

1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

7 positive · 28 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move22.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-25.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape68/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.68; No reversal markers Factors19/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 53; Small Cap Core rank 33 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

FF shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 22.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 22.6% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

FutureFuel Corp (FF) Dividends & Stock Splits: Historical Payouts and Event Timeline Insiders1 / 0

1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20264.65 USD-3.1%4.09 USD4.22 USD0.3411.401.8MOn
17 Jul 20264.80 USD3.4%4.04 USD4.22 USD0.2614.251.6MOn
10 Jul 20264.64 USD-1.1%4.00 USD4.23 USD0.058.821.3MOn
3 Jul 20264.69 USD10.6%3.95 USD4.24 USD0.0411.471.5MOn
26 Jun 20264.24 USD0.0%3.90 USD4.24 USD-0.092.921.5MOn
19 Jun 20264.24 USD-7.8%3.87 USD4.25 USD-0.190.35978.7KOn
12 Jun 20264.60 USD5.7%3.83 USD4.25 USD-0.139.551.6MOn
5 Jun 20264.35 USD5.3%3.78 USD4.26 USD-0.074.011.3MOn
29 May 20264.13 USD0.5%3.76 USD4.26 USD0.19-3.82855.7KOn
22 May 20264.11 USD2.2%3.75 USD4.27 USD0.56-3.191.4MOn
15 May 20264.02 USD-17.8%3.75 USD4.28 USD0.68-4.752.7MOn
8 May 20264.89 USD0.6%3.74 USD4.29 USD0.7615.591.3MOn
1 May 20264.86 USD18.2%3.70 USD4.29 USD0.7417.472.5MOn
24 Apr 20264.11 USD-2.1%3.67 USD4.29 USD0.730.261.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.