ITIC JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: ITIC weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

PT Indonesian Tobacco Tbk · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

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Latest close 212.0 IDR

1.0% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.

Setup score 36 out of 100

Latest Close 212.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 1.0% latest completed week

4W Return 7.1% short-term follow-through

12W Return -16.5% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 5.7x vs 13-week average

What is working

Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.50% based on similar historical setup states.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.1%. Indicator stack 22/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.50% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

180.0 IDR 7.7% 595.0 IDR

Range location7.7%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance-19.4%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap-22.8%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-64.4%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 5.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.01

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, -16.5% over 12 weeks, and -4.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.0%

4W7.1%

12W-16.5%

26W-35.4%

52W-4.5%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year21

Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.04Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change106.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-13.56Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

0 positive · 22 neutral · 1 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-64.4%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher9 of 2613 weeks finished lower.

Best week+9.7%Week of 19 Jun.

Worst week-15.2%Week of 6 Mar.

Latest week+1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3

Modest gains6

Flat weeks4

Modest losses6

Sharp losses7

Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol14.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split20/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew10.8% / -6.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorID Consumer Defensive

4-week rank38 / 100

Group average9.8%

Trend breadth12.0%

Trend12.0%active weekly trend signals

MD41.0%positive activity pressure

RS72.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AGAR · JKT205.8%BEEF · JKT92.2%NSSS · JKT78.2%RLCO · JKT65.6%SGRO · JKT45.3%

IndustryID Tobacco

4-week rank4 / 4

Group average11.9%

Trend breadth25.0%

Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals

MD75.0%positive activity pressure

RS75.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GGRM · JKT20.4%HMSP · JKT11.4%WIIM · JKT8.6%ITIC · JKT7.1%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis11/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.50%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.50% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Stock Can Margin Gains Outrun Regulation Risks? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	212.0 IDR	1.0%	262.9 IDR	274.5 IDR	0.04	-13.56	12.1M	Off
24 Jul 2026	210.0 IDR	2.9%	267.9 IDR	274.9 IDR	-0.31	-13.64	1.9M	Off
17 Jul 2026	204.0 IDR	0.0%	272.4 IDR	275.2 IDR	-0.46	-15.62	1.1M	Off
10 Jul 2026	204.0 IDR	3.0%	277.6 IDR	275.6 IDR	-0.50	-11.89	563.7K	Off
3 Jul 2026	198.0 IDR	-2.9%	283.0 IDR	276.1 IDR	-0.64	-13.63	650.0K	Off
26 Jun 2026	204.0 IDR	-4.7%	290.2 IDR	276.5 IDR	-0.82	-11.24	412.0K	Off
19 Jun 2026	214.0 IDR	9.7%	297.8 IDR	276.9 IDR	-0.99	-10.98	376.5K	Off
12 Jun 2026	195.0 IDR	7.1%	304.7 IDR	277.3 IDR	-1.14	-16.48	222.4K	Off
5 Jun 2026	182.0 IDR	-15.0%	312.1 IDR	277.8 IDR	-1.09	-16.22	322.1K	Off
29 May 2026	214.0 IDR	-4.5%	321.0 IDR	278.3 IDR	-1.00	-10.03	1.1M	Off
22 May 2026	224.0 IDR	-11.8%	329.4 IDR	278.7 IDR	-0.88	-6.23	4.5M	Off
15 May 2026	254.0 IDR	0.0%	334.1 IDR	279.1 IDR	-1.00	-2.33	2.1M	Off
8 May 2026	254.0 IDR	-3.1%	335.8 IDR	279.2 IDR	-1.16	-5.55	2.2M	Off
1 May 2026	262.0 IDR	6.5%	339.3 IDR	279.4 IDR	-1.29	-2.29	17.5M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.