JKT Equity Snapshot

ITIC Weekly Equity Report

PT Indonesian Tobacco Tbk

Latest Close 195.0 IDR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 7.1% latest completed week
4W Return -23.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -26.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

PT Indonesian Tobacco Tbk manufactures and sells cigarettes and tobacco products in Indonesia. The company offers roll your own tobacco products comprising roll-your-own cigarettes, tingwe tobacco, and shag tobacco or selfrolled tobacco. It operates in Papua, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Sumatera, Maluku, and Java. The company also exports its products to Malaysia, Singapore, Japan, and India. PT Indonesian Tobacco Tbk was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Malang, Indonesia.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ITIC closed the latest completed week at 195.0 IDR. The 4-week return is -23.2% and the 12-week return is -26.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.13. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 11/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -36.0%
Volume 0.4x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 22 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 0 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 29 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 15 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
304.7 IDR
Vs Trend Line
-36.0%
Fair Value
277.3 IDR
Vs Fair Value
-29.7%
52W High
595.0 IDR
52W Low
167.0 IDR
Drawdown
-67.2%
Range Position
6.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 7.1%
4W -23.2%
12W -26.1%
26W -46.7%
52W -11.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
21
52W Active Breadth
40.4%
Sector Scope
ID Consumer Defensive
Sector Rank
46 of 117
Sector Percentile
61.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.13
4W MD Change
-13.2%
Relative Strength
-16.48
4W RS Change
-608.1%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
39.79%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.1M
13W Average
3.2M
52W Average
20.7M
Vs 13W
0.4x
Vs 52W
0.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.2%
52W Volatility
14.2%
Upside Weeks
20
Downside Weeks
26
Downside Breadth
50.0%
Avg Gain / Loss
10.2% / -6.6%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JKT
Country
ID
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Tobacco
Currency
IDR
Market Cap
201.3B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 195.0 IDR 7.1% 304.7 IDR 277.3 IDR -1.13 -16.48 1.1M Off
5 Jun 2026 182.0 IDR -15.0% 312.1 IDR 277.8 IDR -1.09 -16.22 1.0M Off
29 May 2026 214.0 IDR -4.5% 321.0 IDR 278.3 IDR -1.00 -10.03 1.1M Off
22 May 2026 224.0 IDR -11.8% 329.4 IDR 278.7 IDR -0.88 -6.23 4.5M Off
15 May 2026 254.0 IDR 0.0% 334.1 IDR 279.1 IDR -1.00 -2.33 2.1M Off
8 May 2026 254.0 IDR -3.1% 335.8 IDR 279.2 IDR -1.16 -5.55 2.2M Off
1 May 2026 262.0 IDR 6.5% 339.3 IDR 279.4 IDR -1.29 -2.29 17.5M Off
24 Apr 2026 246.0 IDR -6.8% 348.8 IDR 279.5 IDR -1.44 -10.34 2.1M Off
17 Apr 2026 264.0 IDR 3.9% 358.7 IDR 279.7 IDR -1.41 -10.18 4.3M Off
10 Apr 2026 254.0 IDR -0.8% 360.3 IDR 279.8 IDR -1.42 -11.63 2.0M Off
3 Apr 2026 256.0 IDR -1.5% 359.7 IDR 280.0 IDR -1.42 -5.52 799.5K Off
27 Mar 2026 260.0 IDR -1.5% 358.7 IDR 280.2 IDR -1.49 -4.87 1.6M Off
20 Mar 2026 264.0 IDR 0.8% 357.5 IDR 280.5 IDR -1.43 -3.38 758.9K Off
13 Mar 2026 262.0 IDR -5.8% 355.9 IDR 280.8 IDR -1.34 -4.36 2.1M Off