MRLN NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Merlin, Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF
Latest close 3.47 USD
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -74.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -30.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 14d.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 3.47 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return -30.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -66.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -30.0%. Indicator stack 35/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 56/100 conviction; expected move 34.6%. News sentiment 53/100 8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 14d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -74.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -30.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Dec 17 Dec 24 Dec 31 Dec 7 Jan 14 Jan 21 Jan 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -30.0% over four weeks, -66.2% over 12 weeks, and -84.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W-30.0%
12W-66.2%
26W-84.9%
52W-84.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-69.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-88.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2024 Field coverage 58% Model confidence 55%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality48/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Momentum50/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Growth50/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
272.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-22.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-591.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4395.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-3860.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
22.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MRLN shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 34.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction56/100
Expected move34.6%
Put/call volume0.11
Pressure90
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

1 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings14dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move34.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-85.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-65.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol12.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -8.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 73; Small Cap Core rank 54 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options37/100

MRLN shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 34.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 34.6% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow Futures Slip As Chip Stocks Pull Back: LULU, NFLX, KEEL, MRLN Stocks In Focus Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings14d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20263.47 USD-3.3%13.37 USD14.07 USD-0.54-88.419.5MOff
17 Jul 20263.59 USD-16.5%14.03 USD14.15 USD-0.45-88.527.1MOff
10 Jul 20264.30 USD-18.6%14.67 USD14.24 USD-0.40-87.179.1MOff
3 Jul 20265.28 USD6.5%15.26 USD14.32 USD-0.39-84.389.1MOff
26 Jun 20264.96 USD-25.9%15.82 USD14.39 USD-0.32-85.5713.1MOff
19 Jun 20266.69 USD-1.8%16.40 USD14.47 USD-0.38-81.8513.4MOff
12 Jun 20266.81 USD-20.8%16.91 USD14.53 USD-0.44-81.4420.4MOff
5 Jun 20268.60 USD6.8%17.42 USD14.60 USD-0.52-76.5141.7MOff
29 May 20268.05 USD13.5%17.86 USD14.65 USD-0.65-79.248.2MOff
22 May 20267.09 USD7.3%18.33 USD14.70 USD-0.69-81.388.1MOff
15 May 20266.61 USD-19.7%18.83 USD14.77 USD-0.71-82.658.3MOff
8 May 20268.23 USD-19.9%19.35 USD14.84 USD-0.69-78.747.1MOff
1 May 202610.28 USD-14.4%19.81 USD14.90 USD-0.69-72.356.2MOff
24 Apr 202612.01 USD-11.6%20.21 USD14.94 USD-0.68-67.626.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.