ONEW NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Onewater Marine · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

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Latest close 12.25 USD
-4.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 12.25 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.8% latest completed week
4W Return 13.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.27% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.1%. Indicator stack 10/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.27% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 15.0%. News sentiment 50/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.1% over four weeks, 1.6% over 12 weeks, and -22.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.8%
4W13.1%
12W1.6%
26W-7.8%
52W-22.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change26.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change56.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality8/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-5.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
4.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-34.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-10.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ONEW shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 15.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move15.0%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure94
Speculation2
Volatility92
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 5

2 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

7 positive · 46 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move15.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses10
Recent vol10.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.27%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.27% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 40; Buyback Yield rank 59; Small Cap Core rank 16 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

ONEW shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 15.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.0% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

OneWater Marine Inc (ONEW) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Market ... Insiders2 / 5

2 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.25 USD-4.8%11.38 USD19.06 USD1.03-11.98527.5KOff
24 Jul 202612.87 USD-4.5%11.33 USD19.16 USD0.89-7.99393.5KOff
17 Jul 202613.47 USD21.1%11.25 USD19.31 USD0.90-5.95711.1KOff
10 Jul 202611.12 USD2.7%11.15 USD19.45 USD0.76-25.97410.1KOff
3 Jul 202610.83 USD-8.4%11.17 USD19.62 USD0.81-27.43306.0KOff
26 Jun 202611.82 USD4.3%11.18 USD19.78 USD0.77-20.97648.0KOff
19 Jun 202611.33 USD2.1%11.19 USD19.94 USD0.56-28.20624.0KOff
12 Jun 202611.10 USD9.0%11.19 USD20.08 USD0.37-28.50453.5KOff
5 Jun 202610.18 USD-7.5%11.26 USD20.23 USD0.16-33.56370.5KOff
29 May 202611.01 USD1.9%11.42 USD20.37 USD0.30-32.23318.5KOff
22 May 202610.80 USD2.2%11.57 USD20.49 USD0.11-32.41433.9KOff
15 May 202610.57 USD-12.4%11.78 USD20.60 USD-0.07-33.74459.0KOff
8 May 202612.06 USD23.1%11.92 USD20.71 USD-0.14-25.56974.1KOff
1 May 20269.80 USD-13.3%12.01 USD20.82 USD-0.46-36.80824.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.