MAIR NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Madison Air Solutions Corporation · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

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Latest close 34.73 USD
2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -7.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 1d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 34.73 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -7.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 15 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.06% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.6%. Indicator stack 0/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 30.06% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 42/100 conviction; expected move 15.7%. News sentiment 56/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 1d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -7.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.6% over four weeks, -13.5% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.1%
4W-7.6%
12W-13.5%
26W-
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength26/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth32/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
565.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
34.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-82.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1030.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MAIR shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.67, expected move of 15.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction42/100
Expected move15.7%
Put/call volume0.67
Pressure28
Speculation15
Volatility79
Trend agreement72
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

11 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher5 of 149 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.7%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split5/9Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis8/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.06%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.06% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 77; Small Cap Core rank 100 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options63/100

MAIR shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.67, expected move of 15.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 15.7% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

Do You Believe in the Upside Potential of Madison Air Solutions (MAIR)? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings1d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202634.73 USD2.1%-38.03 USD0.00-10.9MOff
17 Jul 202634.00 USD-7.1%-38.26 USD0.00-12.4MOff
10 Jul 202636.61 USD-1.5%-38.59 USD0.00-9.1MOff
3 Jul 202637.18 USD-1.1%-38.75 USD0.00-14.6MOff
26 Jun 202637.59 USD-1.4%-38.90 USD0.00-8.3MOff
19 Jun 202638.13 USD-2.3%-39.03 USD0.00-5.6MOff
12 Jun 202639.02 USD-2.8%-39.13 USD0.00-5.4MOff
5 Jun 202640.14 USD-7.7%-39.14 USD0.00-5.4MOff
29 May 202643.47 USD8.6%-39.00 USD0.00-4.5MOff
22 May 202640.04 USD-2.3%-38.25 USD0.00-6.8MOff
15 May 202641.00 USD-2.4%-37.89 USD0.00-13.3MOff
8 May 202642.02 USD4.6%-37.12 USD0.00-8.8MOff
1 May 202640.17 USD18.7%-35.48 USD--10.6MOff
24 Apr 202633.83 USD4.3%-33.14 USD--34.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.