LYB NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

LyondellBasell Industries NV · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

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Latest close 62.08 USD
2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 16.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 6d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 62.08 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.9% latest completed week
4W Return 16.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 16.3%. Indicator stack 19/37 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 9.5%. News sentiment 54/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 6d Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 16.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 16.3% over four weeks, -12.6% over 12 weeks, and 25.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.9%
4W16.3%
12W-12.6%
26W29.5%
52W25.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change119.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
9.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-13.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

LYB shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.79, expected move of 9.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction54/100
Expected move9.5%
Put/call volume1.79
Pressure-35
Speculation41
Volatility73
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

13 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-10.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis42/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 29 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

LYB shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.79, expected move of 9.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.5% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

Lyondell Benefits From North American Feedstock Cost Advantage Insiders7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings6d

Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202662.08 USD2.9%62.82 USD68.12 USD-0.842.5125.0MOff
24 Jul 202660.32 USD1.9%62.20 USD68.22 USD-1.030.7621.9MOff
17 Jul 202659.17 USD5.0%61.60 USD68.35 USD-1.11-2.0423.0MOff
10 Jul 202656.35 USD5.6%61.03 USD68.45 USD-1.09-8.4731.9MOff
3 Jul 202653.36 USD-4.3%60.60 USD68.57 USD-1.07-12.6121.1MOff
26 Jun 202655.73 USD-7.2%60.23 USD68.70 USD-0.92-7.2226.5MOn
19 Jun 202660.07 USD-7.0%59.93 USD68.83 USD-0.81-2.6725.2MOn
12 Jun 202664.58 USD0.1%59.35 USD68.91 USD-0.645.3226.5MOn
5 Jun 202664.50 USD-2.2%58.63 USD68.98 USD-0.415.6125.2MOn
29 May 202665.97 USD-4.4%57.84 USD69.03 USD-0.155.2920.8MOn
22 May 202669.01 USD-7.1%57.12 USD69.08 USD0.1811.7221.7MOn
15 May 202674.30 USD4.6%56.32 USD69.10 USD0.3921.4424.0MOn
8 May 202671.03 USD-4.3%55.31 USD69.10 USD0.5016.5732.3MOn
1 May 202674.23 USD7.3%54.37 USD69.10 USD0.7924.8033.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.