PYPL NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PayPal Holdings Inc · Financial Services · Credit Services

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Latest close 56.15 USD
-0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 26.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 56.15 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 26.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 26.8%. Indicator stack 0/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 46/100 conviction; expected move 2.3%. News sentiment 55/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 26.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1112-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 26.8% over four weeks, 11.7% over 12 weeks, and -27.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.7%
4W26.8%
12W11.7%
26W-0.2%
52W-27.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change490.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change77.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework93/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
14.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
46.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
24.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
11.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-2.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
12.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
12.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

PYPL shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 2.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction46/100
Expected move2.3%
Put/call volume0.15
Pressure81
Speculation41
Volatility31
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

21 positive · 32 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-23.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Factors71/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 91; Buyback Yield rank 4 SVQF93/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 50.5 of 726 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options44/100

PYPL shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 2.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.3% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

PayPal (PYPL) Joins Binance bStocks As Crypto Users Gain Stock Exposure Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

1 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202656.15 USD-0.7%47.34 USD63.39 USD1.00-7.5777.5MOff
17 Jul 202656.56 USD22.1%47.46 USD63.50 USD0.81-9.46174.4MOff
10 Jul 202646.32 USD1.9%47.55 USD63.61 USD0.47-29.6951.1MOff
3 Jul 202645.47 USD2.7%48.05 USD63.77 USD0.31-30.6768.7MOff
26 Jun 202644.29 USD4.2%48.60 USD63.90 USD0.17-32.9186.2MOff
19 Jun 202642.51 USD2.4%49.20 USD64.04 USD0.15-39.3988.4MOff
12 Jun 202641.53 USD0.6%49.79 USD64.19 USD0.19-40.1276.1MOff
5 Jun 202641.29 USD-7.4%50.48 USD64.35 USD0.35-40.0082.1MOff
29 May 202644.60 USD1.2%51.29 USD64.49 USD0.47-39.0663.3MOff
22 May 202644.09 USD-0.4%52.09 USD64.61 USD0.51-38.9055.8MOff
15 May 202644.27 USD-2.1%52.93 USD64.71 USD0.56-38.7986.6MOff
8 May 202645.22 USD-10.1%53.68 USD64.81 USD0.55-38.54100.7MOff
1 May 202650.28 USD-0.1%54.48 USD64.91 USD0.38-28.9757.6MOff
24 Apr 202650.32 USD-0.6%55.09 USD65.07 USD0.13-28.6255.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.