VST MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vistra Corp. · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 2,571 MXN
-10.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.4%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 2,571 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.4% latest completed week
4W Return -2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -10.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.5%. Indicator stack 15/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 50/100 35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.4%, after a -2.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2912-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.29Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, 1.5% over 12 weeks, and -35.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.4%
4W-2.5%
12W1.5%
26W-6.8%
52W-35.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change68.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

3 positive · 30 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-10.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average3.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

CEG · MEX8.8%VST · MEX-2.5%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis29/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.29; No reversal markers Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

Vistra Corp. (VST) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262,571 MXN-10.4%2,763 MXN2,258 MXN0.66-18.452.2KOff
24 Jul 20262,870 MXN5.9%2,776 MXN2,245 MXN0.73-9.381.4KOff
17 Jul 20262,710 MXN-2.9%2,776 MXN2,229 MXN0.79-15.421.2KOff
10 Jul 20262,791 MXN5.8%2,788 MXN2,214 MXN0.80-13.506.7KOff
3 Jul 20262,638 MXN-9.0%2,800 MXN2,199 MXN0.39-19.671.4KOff
26 Jun 20262,900 MXN2.1%2,816 MXN2,185 MXN0.16-12.63340Off
19 Jun 20262,841 MXN11.0%2,829 MXN2,169 MXN-0.10-15.650Off
12 Jun 20262,559 MXN-0.7%2,838 MXN2,154 MXN-0.24-24.921.5KOff
5 Jun 20262,578 MXN-7.0%2,859 MXN2,140 MXN-0.06-22.87338Off
29 May 20262,771 MXN2.3%2,884 MXN2,126 MXN0.13-20.606.1KOff
22 May 20262,709 MXN11.2%2,908 MXN2,111 MXN0.16-22.4838.6KOff
15 May 20262,435 MXN-3.9%2,939 MXN2,096 MXN0.29-30.2714.5KOff
8 May 20262,534 MXN-8.0%2,983 MXN2,084 MXN0.33-29.8314.4KOff
1 May 20262,753 MXN-3.4%3,021 MXN2,070 MXN0.26-21.821.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.