MEX Equity Snapshot

VST Weekly Equity Report

Vistra Corp.

Latest Close 2,562 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 5.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

VST closed the latest completed week at 2,562 MXN. The 4-week return is 5.2% and the 12-week return is -2.9%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.16. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 23/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -9.7%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 19 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 59 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 35 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 23 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
2,838 MXN
Vs Trend Line
-9.7%
Fair Value
2,154 MXN
Vs Fair Value
19.0%
52W High
4,064 MXN
52W Low
2,315 MXN
Drawdown
-37.0%
Range Position
14.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -0.7%
4W 5.2%
12W -2.9%
26W -18.5%
52W -22.1%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
18
52W Active Breadth
34.6%
Sector Scope
MX Utilities
Sector Rank
10 of 13
Sector Percentile
25.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.16
4W MD Change
-155.3%
Relative Strength
-24.82
4W RS Change
18.0%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
45.43%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
4.4K
13W Average
7.9K
52W Average
4.3K
Vs 13W
0.6x
Vs 52W
1.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.0%
52W Volatility
5.5%
Upside Weeks
19
Downside Weeks
32
Downside Breadth
61.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.2% / -3.6%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
908.7B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 2,562 MXN -0.7% 2,838 MXN 2,154 MXN -0.16 -24.82 4.4K Off
5 Jun 2026 2,582 MXN -6.8% 2,859 MXN 2,140 MXN 0.00 -22.76 8.9K Off
29 May 2026 2,771 MXN 2.3% 2,884 MXN 2,126 MXN 0.14 -20.59 6.1K Off
22 May 2026 2,709 MXN 11.2% 2,908 MXN 2,111 MXN 0.17 -22.47 38.6K Off
15 May 2026 2,435 MXN -3.9% 2,939 MXN 2,096 MXN 0.29 -30.27 14.5K Off
8 May 2026 2,534 MXN -8.0% 2,983 MXN 2,084 MXN 0.34 -29.83 14.4K Off
1 May 2026 2,753 MXN -3.4% 3,021 MXN 2,070 MXN 0.27 -21.81 1.8K Off
24 Apr 2026 2,850 MXN 0.0% 3,057 MXN 2,055 MXN 0.19 -20.90 4.1K Off
17 Apr 2026 2,850 MXN 6.3% 3,089 MXN 2,040 MXN 0.14 -21.66 1.9K Off
10 Apr 2026 2,682 MXN -3.0% 3,122 MXN 2,024 MXN -0.03 -26.56 853 Off
3 Apr 2026 2,765 MXN -2.5% 3,160 MXN 2,010 MXN 0.04 -24.08 296 Off
27 Mar 2026 2,836 MXN 7.5% 3,181 MXN 1,995 MXN 0.06 -18.58 5.2K Off
20 Mar 2026 2,638 MXN -9.7% 3,204 MXN 1,979 MXN -0.09 -21.36 1.1K Off
13 Mar 2026 2,920 MXN -1.0% 3,235 MXN 1,965 MXN -0.10 -15.22 487 Off