- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
CEG
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Constellation Energy Corporation · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Latest close
4,570 MXN
-4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
4,570 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.8%.
Indicator stack
24/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a 8.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, -13.2% over 12 weeks, and -30.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.
11 positive · 23 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-4.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Utilities
4-week rank2 / 13
Group average-1.8%
Trend breadth38.5%
Trend38.5%active weekly trend signals
MD46.2%positive activity pressure
RS46.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average3.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.
Is Constellation Energy’s (CEG) Earnings Uncertainty Reframing Its Longer‑Term Profitability Narrative? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,570 MXN | -4.6% | 5,009 MXN | 4,422 MXN | -0.61 | -21.04 | 1.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,791 MXN | 8.3% | 5,078 MXN | 4,404 MXN | -0.75 | -17.39 | 5.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,422 MXN | 0.5% | 5,133 MXN | 4,384 MXN | -0.96 | -24.60 | 1.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,400 MXN | 4.8% | 5,201 MXN | 4,366 MXN | -0.92 | -25.48 | 1.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,200 MXN | -8.3% | 5,281 MXN | 4,348 MXN | -0.97 | -30.07 | 5.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,582 MXN | -4.5% | 5,360 MXN | 4,331 MXN | -0.87 | -24.49 | 831 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,800 MXN | 10.2% | 5,422 MXN | 4,312 MXN | -0.71 | -22.10 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,355 MXN | -2.4% | 5,478 MXN | 4,291 MXN | -0.53 | -30.07 | 25 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,463 MXN | -10.2% | 5,547 MXN | 4,272 MXN | -0.26 | -26.89 | 12.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,972 MXN | -2.4% | 5,612 MXN | 4,252 MXN | -0.03 | -21.95 | 2.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5,094 MXN | 9.8% | 5,680 MXN | 4,229 MXN | 0.12 | -20.22 | 5.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,640 MXN | -11.8% | 5,749 MXN | 4,205 MXN | 0.32 | -27.30 | 9.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,264 MXN | -3.2% | 5,841 MXN | 4,184 MXN | 0.28 | -20.22 | 3.1K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 5,435 MXN | -0.4% | 5,897 MXN | 4,159 MXN | 0.10 | -15.49 | 1.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.