MDV NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Modiv Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Industrial

Latest close 17.32 USD
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -2.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 17.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return -2.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -2.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.6% over four weeks, -2.5% over 12 weeks, and 28.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W-2.6%
12W-2.5%
26W15.9%
52W28.8%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-98.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-44.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework12/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
1199.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
37.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
36.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-0.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-95.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-37.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity7 / 0

7 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

7 positive · 35 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.7%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-4.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202617.32 USD-1.4%16.11 USD13.70 USD0.024.85209.3KOn
24 Jul 202617.56 USD-4.3%16.00 USD13.65 USD0.427.58281.0KOn
17 Jul 202618.35 USD4.6%15.88 USD13.60 USD0.7612.04319.1KOn
10 Jul 202617.55 USD-1.3%15.75 USD13.55 USD0.885.76220.4KOn
3 Jul 202617.79 USD2.0%15.64 USD13.50 USD1.088.77394.9KOn
26 Jun 202617.44 USD-2.3%15.51 USD13.46 USD1.179.13469.7KOn
19 Jun 202617.86 USD-2.1%15.41 USD13.42 USD1.279.30323.3KOn
12 Jun 202618.25 USD0.5%15.28 USD13.36 USD1.3812.80205.4KOn
5 Jun 202618.15 USD0.5%15.14 USD13.31 USD1.4813.07297.3KOn
29 May 202618.06 USD0.1%15.00 USD13.26 USD1.629.96310.3KOn
22 May 202618.04 USD1.6%14.86 USD13.22 USD1.5311.54302.4KOn
15 May 202617.76 USD-0.1%14.72 USD13.17 USD1.3510.94400.0KOn
8 May 202617.77 USD11.7%14.58 USD13.12 USD1.1511.341.4MOn
1 May 202615.91 USD-0.2%14.44 USD13.07 USD0.762.04265.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.