NOC NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Northrop Grumman Corporation · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 542.2 USD
4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 8.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 542.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 8.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.4%. Indicator stack 41/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 6.2%. News sentiment 54/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 8.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.28

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.4% over four weeks, -4.1% over 12 weeks, and -3.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.0%
4W8.4%
12W-4.1%
26W-18.8%
52W-3.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.45Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change44.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
14.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
40.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NOC shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move6.2%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure50
Speculation41
Volatility45
Trend agreement10
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

10 positive · 27 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-13.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors36/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 30 SVQF68/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 320.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

NOC shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.2% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on Northrop Grumman to $538 From $533, Maintains Neutral Rating Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026542.2 USD4.0%618.4 USD507.6 USD-0.45-16.666.3MOff
17 Jul 2026521.6 USD-3.3%619.4 USD506.9 USD-0.67-20.584.5MOff
10 Jul 2026539.6 USD-1.7%620.9 USD506.3 USD-0.73-19.314.0MOff
3 Jul 2026549.0 USD9.8%621.7 USD505.6 USD-0.76-16.985.1MOff
26 Jun 2026500.0 USD-4.1%621.6 USD504.8 USD-0.80-22.855.5MOff
19 Jun 2026521.5 USD-5.2%623.7 USD504.4 USD-0.83-21.654.9MOff
12 Jun 2026550.3 USD1.1%625.0 USD503.8 USD-0.82-16.794.5MOff
5 Jun 2026544.4 USD-3.0%625.1 USD503.1 USD-0.89-17.436.0MOff
29 May 2026561.1 USD1.5%625.6 USD502.4 USD-1.00-17.164.2MOff
22 May 2026553.0 USD2.8%626.2 USD501.5 USD-1.06-17.294.5MOff
15 May 2026538.2 USD-1.6%627.7 USD500.6 USD-1.03-18.923.1MOff
8 May 2026547.0 USD-3.3%629.3 USD499.8 USD-0.95-17.534.0MOff
1 May 2026565.5 USD-1.2%631.6 USD499.0 USD-0.79-12.923.5MOff
24 Apr 2026572.5 USD-13.6%632.8 USD498.1 USD-0.52-11.176.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.