AOMD GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alstom SA · Industrials · Railroads

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Latest close 16.20 EUR
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 0.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 16.20 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 0.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.8%. Indicator stack 26/56 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 51/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 0.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.8% over four weeks, -6.1% over 12 weeks, and -17.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W0.8%
12W-6.1%
26W-40.2%
52W-17.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change91.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
22.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
12.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
117.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-33.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

1 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-28.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors41/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 35 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

Alstom Stock: Still A Buy After Analyzing The Recent Weakness (OTCMKTS:ALSMY) Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202616.20 EUR1.3%20.87 EUR18.83 EUR-0.09-28.6922.7KOff
24 Jul 202615.98 EUR2.0%21.19 EUR18.89 EUR-0.30-28.4834.8KOff
17 Jul 202615.66 EUR-0.2%21.48 EUR18.96 EUR-0.65-29.5640.3KOff
10 Jul 202615.69 EUR-2.4%21.79 EUR19.02 EUR-0.86-30.4552.5KOff
3 Jul 202616.08 EUR4.6%22.08 EUR19.08 EUR-1.06-31.0057.1KOff
26 Jun 202615.38 EUR-4.7%22.31 EUR19.13 EUR-1.24-31.319.6KOff
19 Jun 202616.13 EUR-0.5%22.55 EUR19.20 EUR-1.26-29.152.6KOff
12 Jun 202616.21 EUR-5.0%22.76 EUR19.25 EUR-1.26-27.9813.0KOff
5 Jun 202617.07 EUR-1.0%23.02 EUR19.31 EUR-1.23-24.812.5KOff
29 May 202617.25 EUR2.4%23.14 EUR19.36 EUR-1.20-25.2024.5KOff
22 May 202616.83 EUR-1.4%23.29 EUR19.41 EUR-1.21-26.5729.4KOff
15 May 202617.08 EUR-1.0%23.46 EUR19.47 EUR-1.14-22.7534.1KOff
8 May 202617.26 EUR0.6%23.62 EUR19.52 EUR-1.05-23.3333.7KOff
1 May 202617.16 EUR3.5%23.78 EUR19.56 EUR-0.89-24.0028.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.